Bigtime NVG post.

some cliff notes

Pedro is 5-2 with a 1.89 ERA in 10 games at Florida, New York has won 11 of its last 12 games at florida.

solid support for Martinez after getting 10 hits with Jose Reyes, David Wright and Carlos Beltran getting two each Monday.

Wright drove in three runs with a double in the fourth inning Monday, and went 2-for-4 to improve his career batting average to .348 at Dolphin Stadium.

The Marlins turn to 22-year-old Rick VandenHurk to help them rebound from losing the season opener.

The 6-foot-5 right-hander went 4-6 with a 6.83 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 81 2-3 innings over 18 games - 17 starts - as a rookie in 2007.

He struggled in two starts against the Mets, going 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA, striking out 12 in nine frames while allowing four home runs.

I wouldn't bet on Pedro right now with your money, let alone at that price.

If this is the methodology you used to place the bet, you have no idea if the bet is +ev or not.

No.

I hope not. FLA is my biggest bet today.

Lori

Actually, I'm very tempted to disagree with this

Lori

you really bet on the marlins? can i kno the reasoning behind it?

Would you like to add any at -190?

Im not great at baseball writeups, I do has a system (like most on here) where I can assign a numerical value to things (based on x,y,z that I'm not happy revealing, hence I rarely post on baseball like I would on football where I use a far more traditional look and see approach) and that value said that +188 was a good bet.

From a straight up punting point of view, you've got to be A LOT better than your opponents to be a -200 (ish) road fave against them. You pretty much have to murder them in every department to make that bettable. (That's different to saying I'd always bet their opponents, obviously there's vig to consider etc)

Lori

I dont wanna take your money, the mets are a lock sir.

how many people on the marlins have even been there in pedros last 10 games

marlins change almost their entire roster every year or two it seems and pedro hasn't really pitched in a couple years

oh and marlins is one of my big plays too sorry

not for the better....not this year atleast.

oh and the game is now -180 almost everywhere and -175 at pinnacle, so probably not

- D. Uggla homered to deep left, H. Ramirez scored

DAMN IT, HOW DID I MISS THIS.

- L. Gonzalez homered to deep right center

PEDROOOO

im still confident

isnt luis gonzalez like 57 years old?

ditto

pedro injured already

that was quick

Lollllllllllllllllllllllllllllll is it true?

yea, his foot slid weird during a pitch then he was grabbing his balls and wincing in pain so they pulled him out right away

Yes, I had u 70 pitches in 2008 before his first trip to the DL, SHIP IT CRUCIAL!111