NRL gods you have failed thee .....we shall meet again ......next

Ya nice performance from the Bunnies yesterday their stock went way up and obv Roosters way down with their now massive injury toll after the game

21-10 +8.12u

Dragons win roosters lose

22-11 +7.65u

Just Titans ML -217 pending I think will double check thread later

Will prob get a spot

Warriors came in a bit late but missed the good price so left it; I think Raiders win but Warriors cover the early line a lot if I have to guess no bet on that one

Will probably get some Broncos or Bulldogs based on what the markets doing closer to the game, nothing on the first nrl game today

Broncos ML -139

Sharp money breaking for Broncos plus was leaning that way anyway

More talent, but need to hold it together mentally

Nice win Broncos

Taking Eels -285 ML next one they should hold at their Bankwest Fortress and the sharp money agrees

22-11 +7.65u

Broncos and Eels win
24-11 +9.65u

Titans pending

I come from the depth below called OMG. ( every time i leave i get banned so... please don't ban)

anyway....

I'm HEAVY on GWS to take on my team freo. freo have 14 out injured and we playing with 3 first games ( i think) so i got.


mundy any time goal score @ $2

freo to kick Under (11.5) goals @ 2.02

Either Team by 15 or Less @ 2.50 - not sure about this one now. took it as more insurance if freo get up. but i can cash out for 9.16 so i would only loose like 85C might be worth it.

i also got that sweet sweet parlay

this toals@ 6.00
Greater Western Head to Head
Greater Western Sydney (+2.5) Line
Under (161.5) Total Game Points - Over/Under ( this is probs going to **** me)
GWS 1-24 Winning Margin
GWS 1-39 Big Win Little Win

West Coast - Bulldogs 0v 171.5

Market leaning Tigers and over. Bradman Best out does hurt Newcastle's attack a bit

Tbh i don't mind the under at 44.5 but not gonna fade the over steam happy to be uninvolved. It did go over both times last year when these teams met but Knights missing some weapons

Gl guys

fwiw a sharp I know does like Freo even with the injuries

I'm mostly gonna stick to NRL and Union for the time being in here, didn't have the best AFL season last year

I like the Titans to get the job done vs the Cowboys today; if I take anything Knights vs Tigers it'll be purely market based.

I do think Knights are still underrated but missing Best as well as Ponga today hurts. Their pack is way better though. Should win but the 7.5 line feels about right.

The overs steam has scared me off any unders play so just leaving it for now

**** me. I was going to bed west coast too. they were $2.75

insane game

booo more afl!

Nah i don't see them ticking enough points today to get it done. As long as Mundy

but gsw by 12 Mundy to kick a goal and freo to kick less than 11.5 goals sick

I have a small Freo bet on the sharp tip fwiw if anyone cares but at gone price (-118) to

Not counting Freo for thread both because price is gone and gonna have more of an NRL/Union focus for bigger edges

Am adding Titans lead ht win -115 for thread

I have multiple units on the Titans at the -213 range it's my spot of the week and massive sharp money flooding on them at -250 on betfair now

Cowboys side is pure garbage today. Pure and utter garbage. They're way way worse than the team that lost last week to the Dragons and the Titans are better than the Dragons

It's in North Queensland but I expect the Titans to win by a lot

Disclaimer am Titans fan and may be biased but they should win this week the only side the Cowboys would be competitive against with this squad is the Bulldogs

^great start and have coat-tailed a fair bit

holy crapballs titans crushing souls ..lets gogogogog!!

Nice when my takes age well

Pure and utter garbage is an accurate description of this Cowboys side. They would be getting flogged by every team except the Bulldogs today

I hope the Titans put their foot down and win by 50 today. Depends whether they slack off or play to bury them

Cowboys have absolutely nothing in attack and no way to get the ball forward as the Titans pack is so much better

There is a very real chance the market is going to massively underrate the Sharks next week against the Cowboys and make them small favs when they should be decent favs even with their own injury toll

i went an irresponsible amount on them so without trying to put the kibosh on ...lets gogogo second half!!
26-0 at the half

Did something happen, was a try called off due to review or something, I added some units at -15.5 when score was 12-0 and then Google said score was 12-4 and checking in again later the cowboys are back to 0

video review adjudicated no try cowboys at 29.44 minute mark when 12-0 .....good for us!!

indeed

p.s. welcome to the thread luke

^yeah ditto ...the more the merrier in here!

Clear no try due to a knock on. Should have been tackled in mid air too

+2u for Titans game both the ml and lead ht win, Freo gonna win too but doesn't count for thread

So excited about this NRL season think i'm reading it really well

24-11 +9.65u

26-11 +11.65u for season

Our target is least year's 35 units and change lets gogogo

Sick start mate...well done

thanks...

my buthole hurts after that one. currently, i am 3/5 need to up it.

i also have so many question about sportsbetting.

I'm using sports bet right now is it any good. I'm just doing it for fun / a laugh cos i wanted more excitement in my life. Work is grinding me into a mushy paste and i need something more.

plus money is good. i need some to buy a house

Hey Luke....there a professionals(including one in this thread) that can give way better advice but a few takes:

-beating sports is dependent on very small edges .... these are gained from obtaining extra information , probability models , studying price/line movements etc etc

- u will need a ton of different sports book accounts to be able to capitalize on best prices/lines

-parlays generally suck due to the amount of vig ( i still cant help myself to this day)

-there are some very smart people on this forum and there is a ton of advice from basic betting strategy to advanced modelling that might as well be in Greek to me - the search feature is your friend

- money is indeed good but for actual bricks in your house keep whatever other job or hustle you have

that being said any insights/bets are always welcome here!