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2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

12-02-2020 , 12:03 PM
https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/...win-presidency

I don't know why anyone would still want to burn money on Trump, but have at it.
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12-02-2020 , 12:58 PM
I know I come across sometimes as a know it all smart ass.
But I told you guys long ago,
There is no Santa Claus. There is no fat man living in the north pole.
Maybe now y'all understand better.
Maybe cutting down a bit on QAnon websites will help.
Maybe. Because otherwise, it can be damn expensive.

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 12-02-2020 at 01:07 PM.
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12-02-2020 , 01:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
I know I come across sometimes as a know it all smart ass.
But I told you guys long ago,
There is no Santa Claus. There is no fat man living in the north pole.
Maybe know y'all understand better.
Maybe cutting down a bit on QAnon websites will help.
Maybe. Because otherwise, it can be damn expensive.
Edit: I would have thought some of you here would know better.
Disappointed.

Edit: this administration was/ is basically QAnon in the white house. It's pretty messed up.

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 12-02-2020 at 01:09 PM.
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12-02-2020 , 01:09 PM
You would think the AG, who trump appointed, saying no election fraud would be enough but it's never going to be enough for these people. Barr is part of the deep state, according to trumpers. This changes nothing in their minds. If an obstacle arises to their desires then immediately that obstacle is branded as the enemy.
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12-02-2020 , 01:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Edit: this administration was/ is basically QAnon in the white house. It's pretty messed up.
Ironically, this means you believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory, as the theory is that QAnon is an anonymous mouthpiece for the whitehouse.
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12-02-2020 , 01:39 PM
No, of course not.
What I mean is that the guy in the White House is a follower of QAnon.

I guess it's easy to be fooled. If something doesn't fit with your worldview, you try to find answers with something that does?
It can happen to supposed intelligent people too, I guess.
When you disagree with some aspects of the media, because you feel they don't represent your values anymore. So you seek alternative news sources, if at all. Thereby vastly limiting your sources of information?
Subsequently forming a warped and narrow view not reality?

Funny story. A lady Trump supporter said, "no way Biden won. There was nobody at his rallys" . Lol lol lol

But what's really funny is, if you call yourself a sharp sports bettor and you based your choice on crowd size and boat parades. Now that's funny.

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 12-02-2020 at 01:52 PM.
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12-02-2020 , 01:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BadBeatBodog
You would think the AG, who trump appointed, saying no election fraud would be enough but it's never going to be enough for these people. Barr is part of the deep state, according to trumpers. This changes nothing in their minds. If an obstacle arises to their desires then immediately that obstacle is branded as the enemy.

Why stop as long as people keep sending money? He might be doing some serious damage to the party but what does he care?
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12-02-2020 , 01:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CarbonIsTheNutLow
Ironically, this means you believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory, as the theory is that QAnon is an anonymous mouthpiece for the whitehouse.
lol, the brightest minds
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12-02-2020 , 01:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CarbonIsTheNutLow
Betfair is currently around 27x (26:1) on trump now, if anyone with a good reputation wants to arbitrage for a % or knows someone that would i consider putting up a few thousand on Trump.

Or if you want to bet on biden directly, on fairlay you might be able to get around biden -1400 (uses btc).
14 december... i hope. But nothing has come of anything, only dissapointment and obvious corruption. I took a 100 loss and cashed out. Waiting for supremely positive outcomes of anything then im going in again. I would do the same i were you.

These are the likes of the opening words from twitter posts:

BOOMM!
BREAKING!!
WE GOT M!!
NOTHING CAN STOP WHATS COMING!

And then u read the comments that its all a fn made up story or a nothing burger. Servers raided in Germany... 5 soldiers killed.. yeah uhuh. *** if u got the goods u just fn do it and let the evidence talk. U dont come up with bs. Very dissapointing.

Powell: im gonna blow up Georgia. Im gonna release the Kraken.



why the the **** doesnt that gif shows. How fn annoying.

Last edited by Jinsticker; 12-02-2020 at 02:17 PM.
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12-02-2020 , 08:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jinsticker
14 december... i hope. But nothing has come of anything, only dissapointment and obvious corruption. I took a 100 loss and cashed out. Waiting for supremely positive outcomes of anything then im going in again. I would do the same i were you.

These are the likes of the opening words from twitter posts:

BOOMM!
BREAKING!!
WE GOT M!!
NOTHING CAN STOP WHATS COMING!

And then u read the comments that its all a fn made up story or a nothing burger. Servers raided in Germany... 5 soldiers killed.. yeah uhuh. *** if u got the goods u just fn do it and let the evidence talk. U dont come up with bs. Very dissapointing.

Powell: im gonna blow up Georgia. Im gonna release the Kraken.



why the the **** doesnt that gif shows. How fn annoying.
The five stages of grief are:
denial.
anger.
bargaining.
depression.
acceptance.

You're on step 3 and 4

On your way to 5 soon

Sooner you let it go the sooner you can move on with your life.

Like Trump told you guys about covid-19 "don't let it dominate your life"

Last edited by barney big nuts; 12-02-2020 at 08:28 PM.
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12-02-2020 , 09:16 PM
I'm sort of surprised ( ashamed ) with myself that this just occurred to me.
When the protests were going on, everyone assumed that that would energize the Trump base, including myself, and bring people out to vote. Well. that was true. Trump, to his credit, did get 74 million votes. But what I don't think anyone really took into consideration is all those people protesting, over months on end, were highly energized to vote against Trump. All 80 million of them. Biden's Crowd size was out in the streets for months on end for everyone to see in plain view and no one saw them.
How relevant is this epiphany of mine? Probably not much but I thought it's worth thinking about.
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12-03-2020 , 01:26 AM
You couldn't see how a guy like Trump would energize Democrats to go out and vote?
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12-03-2020 , 03:07 AM
Trump unites an otherwise divided left plus was such a polarizing figure he boosts turnout on both sides. Both moderate and leftist Dems hate Trump and it will get them out to vote to get rid of him. The left of the party isn't thrilled by Biden, but obviously sees him as a huge improvement from Trump and once Trump is gone they can pressure Biden to do progressive things, with Trump in office progressive things are dead in the water

High turnout is still bad for Republicans though, post 2000 they win in cycles when turnout is low and lose in cycles when turnout is high because there are more Dem/Dem leaning voters, but they turn out to vote less frequently. In theory 2022 should be a bad year for Dems (incumbent president half of the party thinks is too moderate) and Republicans tend to do well in lower turnout elections, but if Biden can turn out a decent chunk who knows Dems might actually have a decent cycle. Obviously a lot depends on the next two years, if Biden gets America through Covid and it's no longer a threat and the economy is booming he might do well, especially if Trump divides the R base from the sidelines. If Biden has a poor first two years though it could be a bloothbath for Dems, will be hard to read the political climate until at least early 2022 I think for betting purposes

If Betfair really is grading Dec 14 might load the cannons on the 13th if it's still -2000 or thereabouts. Hopefully leads to Pokershares paying out too as I have a five figure amount tied up there
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12-03-2020 , 09:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cardsharkk04
You couldn't see how a guy like Trump would energize Democrats to go out and vote?
Well, good point.
I knew that anti Trump sentiment was high and that people who hated him were highly motivated and were going to turn out in record numbers to vote against him. I trusted the polls and all the data and was fully convinced that Trump would lose the election. And I knew that the protesters were basically anti Trump voters and that the usual right wing rhetoric of vilifying them was going to motivate Trump's base even more, but was at the same time energizing the left. I guest underestimated the impact it was going to have.
And obviously, it goes right past the Trump supporters. Because they're so smart.
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12-03-2020 , 09:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Ben Carson, a brain surgeon.
But still a moron.

Biden 2020 baby!

Sorry not sorry 2020 US Presidential Election Betting Thread
I have proof!
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12-03-2020 , 10:22 AM
https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate...unoff/georgia/

https://www.businessinsider.com/sidn...-votes-2020-12

Well, the Georgia Senate runoff polls still seem to be slightly favoring the GOP, but Hitler's crazy granddaughter is still running berserk telling Republicans not to vote for the Republican candidates until they more forcefully cry election fraud on Trump's behalf.
The Trump presidency has finally been exposed, in it's waning hours, for the freak show it is and has been.
I thought this Powel layer wasn't working for Trump anymore?
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12-03-2020 , 11:33 AM
Do you actually think Ben Carson is a moron?

wait let me change that

Do you think you are smarter than Ben Carson?

lol you are one delusional lonely old man
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12-03-2020 , 11:59 AM
Yes, I do think Ben Carson is a moron, in general. He happens to have a certain talent, that he was lucky enough to catch a few breaks in life, and realize that talent. Thanks to liberal policies that try to help underprivileged minorities. He's a brilliant brain surgeon, but it doesn't necessarily mean he's a brilliant plumber, lawyer, rocket scientist, or a brilliant lady's man. He doesn't recognize and or acknowledge the breaks he got in life, but thinks it's was all inevitable. That's why he's a moron. Nothing is inevitable in life. He could have just as easily ended up as another George Floyd. People who are good and successful in some things get delusional in thinking that they're good in everything. It's a human fallacy.
No, I don't think I'm smarter than him, in general. But I'm not delusional in my own abilities like him either. I bet I could kick his ass in poker!

Edit: not that it matters. Nobody knows who I really am here. Except for a few people who know a little inkling about me here. It's a pretty anonymous forum. Like most forums are.
But have you ever noticed a pattern of mine? I very rarely post after 5pm eastern time. That's when I get out of work. I'm usually posting from the office.

But if you thinking I'm a lonely old man makes you feel better, than I'm glad to be of help.

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 12-03-2020 at 12:12 PM.
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12-03-2020 , 12:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Yes, I do think Ben Carson is a moron, in general. He happens to have a certain talent, that he was lucky enough to catch a few breaks in life, and realize that talent. Thanks to liberal policies that try to help underprivileged minorities. He's a brilliant brain surgeon, but it doesn't necessarily mean he's a brilliant plumber, lawyer, rocket scientist, or a brilliant lady's man. He doesn't recognize and or acknowledge the breaks he got in life, but thinks it's was all inevitable. That's why he's a moron. Nothing is inevitable in life. He could have just as easily ended up as another George Floyd. People who are good and successful in some things get delusional in thinking that they're good in everything. It's a human fallacy.
No, I don't think I'm smarter than him, in general. But I'm not delusional in my own abilities like him either. I bet I could kick his ass in poker!

Edit: not that it matters. Nobody knows who I really am here. Except for a few people who know a little inkling about me here. It's a pretty anonymous forum. Like most forums are.
But have you ever noticed a pattern of mine? I very rarely post after 5pm eastern time. That's when I get out of work. I'm usually posting from the office.

But if you thinking I'm a lonely old man makes you feel better, than I'm glad to be of help.
Very solid post. Of course it will go unnoticed on someone - like the poster who questioned you - that uses lol binary logic to plant a trap question, but know that some of us appreciate your insight friend
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12-03-2020 , 06:42 PM
anyone betting pardon markets on bovada?
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12-03-2020 , 07:57 PM
hold on to your dems 30-59 tickets guys

georgia video about to break this whole thing open for us
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12-03-2020 , 09:09 PM
yea the one on OAN where they're hauling in suitcases full of illegal ballots in front of 4 cameras? yea that's it we got em red handed Do YoUr ReSeArCH
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12-04-2020 , 01:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Yes, I do think Ben Carson is a moron, in general. He happens to have a certain talent, that he was lucky enough to catch a few breaks in life, and realize that talent. Thanks to liberal policies that try to help underprivileged minorities.
lol this is hands down one of the most racist posts I have ever seen on this forum holy ****

it's always funny pushing a liberal because they always end showing their true colours

people like you think black people only succeed because you let them succeed lol just downright ****ing arrogance on your part

imagine thinking being a brain surgeon is just down to a bit of luck and the white man's policies just lol

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
He's a brilliant brain surgeon, but it doesn't necessarily mean he's a brilliant plumber, lawyer, rocket scientist, or a brilliant lady's man. He doesn't recognize and or acknowledge the breaks he got in life, but thinks it's was all inevitable. That's why he's a moron. Nothing is inevitable in life. He could have just as easily ended up as another George Floyd. People who are good and successful in some things get delusional in thinking that they're good in everything. It's a human fallacy.
No, I don't think I'm smarter than him, in general. But I'm not delusional in my own abilities like him either. I bet I could kick his ass in poker!
So you think if he wanted to become a plumber he couldn't? are you being ******ed on purpose here? You actually think Ben Carson could have been another George floyd? How the **** would that be possible? You honestly believe the difference between George Floyd and Ben Carson is a bit of luck?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Edit: not that it matters. Nobody knows who I really am here. Except for a few people who know a little inkling about me here. It's a pretty anonymous forum. Like most forums are.
But have you ever noticed a pattern of mine? I very rarely post after 5pm eastern time. That's when I get out of work. I'm usually posting from the office.

But if you thinking I'm a lonely old man makes you feel better, than I'm glad to be of help.
lol the truth hurts brah it's ok you don't need to prove yourself to me idc
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12-04-2020 , 10:05 AM
Ha, Ivr, I said Carson is a moron, not you. Don't get offended so easily.
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12-04-2020 , 10:13 AM
If anyone here travels abroad, let's say Western Europe, and decided to visit a brothel, you'll find the majority of the young lady's there are beautiful women from countries like
Latvia; Lithuania; Hungary; Bulgaria; Ukraine and Russia. Even Slovenia. Beautiful young white women. Everything has to do with the circumstances we are born under. We don't know how lucky we are sometimes, despite all it's faults, to be Americans. Let's have some appreciation for America ( and Australia).
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