2015 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread - Page 68 - Sports Betting

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2015 MLB Baseball Picks and Discussion Thread

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08-13-2015 , 10:12 AM

#1676

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Quote:

Originally Posted by hfrog355

L Brewers +132
L O's +111
W Tribe - 123
W Natinals +130
L Halos +130
L HOU/SF Over 7 -130
L NYY/CLE Over 7.5 with BOS RL 1u +392
L 5u Parlay +285: (NYY/CLE Over 7.5) and CLE ML
W Twins -114

Last w/e: 3-6 -4.68 units
Overall: 251-312-8 -9.8 units

Cleveland had at least 2 chances to really get something going in that game, but couldn't quite catch a break. A related observation is that Sabathia looks terrible. Just in general.

Quote

08-13-2015 , 10:21 AM

#1677

Da_Nit

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 9,567

Quote:

Originally Posted by bingbangblaow

RIP

looking through some posts a lot of these picks are very questionable and some straight turrible lol

you guys need to work on your pick strategy and find new handicappers to follow for advice

i have no baseball knowledge and just from some simple research and numbercrunching (word to moneyball) have been killing it so far by picking my spots

A little rough don't you think? Looks like he's just have some fun and getting a little action on the dogs without too much effort. It's not like he's all sabermetrics/beautiful mindish like yourself. Good luck, start posting a few those solid plays of yours.

Quote

08-13-2015 , 10:22 AM

#1678

Da_Nit

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 9,567

Forgot my totals plays I'm going to Costanza. I usually do a few totals based on starting pitching recent trends, past 3 games ERA and look at combined ERAs that are way high or low. Todays pick would be over 9 and over 4.5 first 5 for Twins, Rangers game. The combined ERA for the two starters is 22.34 for there past three starts so:

1u under 9 runs and 1u under 4.5 runs first 5 on Rangers @ Twins

Quote

08-13-2015 , 02:11 PM

#1679

chiachu

adept

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 1,001

Quote:

Originally Posted by chiachu

today:
0-1 -1u

ytd:
26-30 +3.80u

Mil +190 1u

Quote

08-13-2015 , 02:11 PM

#1680

Oatmeal1

centurion

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 161

I went under 4.5 in the Brewers/Cubs 1st half at +105

Quote

08-13-2015 , 02:31 PM

#1681

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by grumpy64

126-136-87.4
stl u6.5-101 3.96 units
philly+1.5-151 2 units

2-0+5.96
128-136-81.44

Quote

08-13-2015 , 03:15 PM

#1682

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

128-136-81.44
Pitt-105 2.86 units
Nyy-122 6 unit's
SF o7-102 1.96 units

Quote

08-13-2015 , 03:56 PM

#1683

Oatmeal1

centurion

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 161

Quote:

Originally Posted by Oatmeal1

I went under 4.5 in the Brewers/Cubs 1st half at +105

I'm ready for the 2 out 3 run shot right here...

Quote

08-13-2015 , 04:10 PM

#1684

Oatmeal1

centurion

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 161

Quote:

Originally Posted by Oatmeal1

I'm ready for the 2 out 3 run shot right here...

Or 1 out back to back homers...

I quit baseball.

Quote

08-13-2015 , 05:54 PM

#1685

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Quote:

Originally Posted by Oatmeal1

Or 1 out back to back homers...

I quit baseball.

Ouch.

Quote

08-13-2015 , 05:55 PM

#1686

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

.5u parlay at +870:
PIT/WAS/LAD/NYY

Quote

08-13-2015 , 06:07 PM

#1687

chiachu

adept

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 1,001

Quote:

Originally Posted by chiachu

Mil +190 1u

today:
0-1 -1u

ytd:
26-31 +2.80u

maybe ill just bet all the favorites going forward...

Quote

08-13-2015 , 07:44 PM

#1688

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Pirates with a TD in the 1st inning.

Quote

08-13-2015 , 07:47 PM

#1689

LEMONZEST

Guest

Posts: n/a

I am betting San Fran based on RickJ's pick. Is this a decent bet, I am clueless about MLB

Quote

08-13-2015 , 08:35 PM

#1690

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

I picked Washington but I generally don't think Vogelsong is in good form and the SF pen has been questionable all year.

Quote

08-13-2015 , 08:41 PM

#1691

Oatmeal1

centurion

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 161

Dodgers -1/2 -110 first 5 innings

Quote

08-13-2015 , 09:49 PM

#1692

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

128-136-81.44
Pitt-105 2.86 units
Nyy-122 6 unit's
SF o7-102 1.96 units
Wash-133 3 units

Quote

08-14-2015 , 12:02 AM

#1693

Oatmeal1

centurion

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 161

Quote:

Originally Posted by Oatmeal1

Dodgers -1/2 -110 first 5 innings

Hope someone's fading me. I haven't posted a winner all week.

Quote

08-14-2015 , 10:37 AM

#1694

spooner90

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 1,802

Hey Guys,

I have a quick question regarding baseball. How often does the 1st pitcher not show up for a game? Does it happen often? I've done an arb on two sites where one automatically returns the bet if the listed pitchers don't show up and the other site just continues regardless of the 1st pitch... Advice would help thanks.

Rgds

Spooner

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08-14-2015 , 10:51 AM

#1695

Donkson

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 1,583

going purely from memory i'd say about a little less than once a week.

Quote

08-14-2015 , 02:00 PM

#1696

chiachu

adept

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 1,001

Quote:

Originally Posted by chiachu

today:
0-1 -1u

ytd:
26-31 +2.80u

maybe ill just bet all the favorites going forward...

Oak +167 1u
Col +120 1u

Quote

08-14-2015 , 03:55 PM

#1697

Lilu7

Made 2+2 Great Again

Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 2,123

Cubbies ML (-107) risking to win 1 unit
Jays -1.5 (-110) risking to win 1 unit
O's -1.5 (+110) risking to win 2 units

Quote

08-14-2015 , 05:18 PM

#1698

Oatmeal1

centurion

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 161

I also like Oakland so bet the farm against...

Quote

08-14-2015 , 05:23 PM

#1699

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Quote:

Originally Posted by hfrog355

.5u parlay at +870:
PIT/WAS/LAD/NYY

Yesterday: 0-1 -.5 units
Overall: 251-313-8 -10.3 units

The -110 portions of the parlay led wire to wire and generally coasted. The -160 or better parts got their asses handed to them. Sucks.

Nothing today. Betting preseason NFL like a real degen.

Quote

08-14-2015 , 05:26 PM

#1700

Da_Nit

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 9,567

My Costanza pick opposite of what I think, fade myself went down in flames, I'm going to back to trust my own half a** handicapping and if I have a losing day I'm done with baseball:

Cubs -107 1u
Bronx +1.5 1u +105 1u
Mariners +102 1u
Phills +158 1u
Pirates @ Mets over 8 +100 1u
Priates @ Mets over 4 first 5 -130 1u
Astros -1.5 +100

Quote

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