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10-09-2014 , 12:20 AM

#26

rwillia789

adept

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 927

jets +10 now, have to bet that

Quote

10-09-2014 , 02:01 AM

#27

Jamil11

banned

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 2,919

Quote:

Originally Posted by rwillia789

jets +10 now, have to bet that

the jets are going to get absolutely man-handled. they couldn't put up a single point last week, and now they're playing an even better team. home field advantage isn't even close to enough to overcome a huge blowout imo

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10-09-2014 , 02:34 AM

#28

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by rwillia789

jets +10 now, have to bet that

agreed DD dogs of a big loss are an historically +ev bet. That doesn't mean jets will cover tis game but i will consistently bet teams in this spot i just can't help myself.

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10-09-2014 , 02:45 AM

#29

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

if you don't have 500 plays on your card you ain't trying and in that spirit here are some more plays

73-44+43.36 ytd
philly-2.5-115
fins+3.5-115 2 units
jets+7.5-124 2 units
raiders+7 3 units
bucs O42-120 5 units
fins O48-117 5 units
bears+3.5-118 2 units
atl u53.5
jets+7.5-117 3 units
jets+10 3 units (this would be a 5 unit bet but i'm exposed enough on this game as it is)
dallas+8 2 units
houston+3

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10-09-2014 , 02:47 AM

#30

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

I may start betting more ml dogs in the near future. Done properly they're +ev but the variance is large.

Quote

10-09-2014 , 06:00 AM

#31

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,700

Quote:

Originally Posted by rwillia789

jets +10 now, have to bet that

Agreed

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10-09-2014 , 09:48 AM

#32

overcast

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 230

Quote:

Originally Posted by grumpy64

I notice you take a lot of higher juiced sides, but your total losses and total units implies an average side of +120 or so. Just curious if you were taking a lot of + juice sides earlier in the year and transitioning other way now?

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10-09-2014 , 02:16 PM

#33

SpadeWar

adept

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 866

Means he bet more units per play on his winners then his losers

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10-09-2014 , 02:18 PM

#34

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,700

Houston ML tonight ya'll

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10-09-2014 , 02:49 PM

#35

anthai.lu

grinder

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 475

Colts -2.5

I won't be able to live with myself to bet that clown Fitzpatrick and against Luck.

Quote

10-09-2014 , 03:45 PM

#36

overcast

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 230

Quote:

Originally Posted by SpadeWar

Means he bet more units per play on his winners then his losers

ha, good point. Didn't think of that

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10-09-2014 , 06:09 PM

#37

A10d

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 21

+7 panthers is solid IMO

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10-09-2014 , 06:09 PM

#38

MakinItKane9

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 242

My picks:

Colts -2
Texans +2

Broncos -10
Jets +10

Steelers -1.5
Browns +1.5

Jaguars +7
Titans -7

Packers -3
Dolphins +3

Lions -4
Vikings +4

Panthers +7
Bengals -7

Patriots PK
Bills PK

Ravens -3 +100
Buccaneers +3 -120

Chargers -6
Raiders +6

Bears +3 -120
Falcons -3 +100

Cowboys +8.5
Seahawks -8.5

Washington +6.5
Cardinals -6.5

Giants +3.5
Eagles -3.5

49ers -4.5
Rams +4.5

but what do I know...

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10-09-2014 , 06:31 PM

#39

Mintberry Crunch

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 255

Cows +3 -110 1u

Thornton and Mewhort are out. Look for a big game from Watt.

Quote

10-09-2014 , 06:50 PM

#40

LanceFedora

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 203

Texans and the over. Texans and the over. Texans and the over. Pound! Pound! Pound!

Quote

10-09-2014 , 07:06 PM

#41

silviodante1

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 3,045

Quote:

Originally Posted by LanceFedora

Texans and the over. Texans and the over. Texans and the over. Pound! Pound! Pound!

You said the same thing about hawks/redskins.

Quote

10-09-2014 , 07:24 PM

#42

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

73-44+43.36 ytd
philly-2.5-115
fins+3.5-115 2 units
jets+7.5-124 2 units
raiders+7 3 units
bucs O42-120 5 units
fins O48-117 5 units
bears+3.5-118 2 units
atl u53.5
jets+7.5-117 3 units
jets+10 3 units (this would be a 5 unit bet but i'm exposed enough on this game as it is)
dallas+8 2 units
houston+3
houston+.5-108 1h 2 units
texans+118 2 units

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10-09-2014 , 07:29 PM

#43

kingSLO68

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 395

Quote:

Originally Posted by NYC_Jon

If I log out, I see Bovada has it at -120. Logged in it's -135 though.

I've been refreshing Bovada for the last 30-45 minutes (logged in or out of my account) and only been shown Texans +3.5 -105. I text my buddy because I thought that was a good line. He checked it (logged in) and they were showing him +3 -120 and then it moved to +3.5 -130. He logged out of his account and deleted his cookies and now sees what I'm seeing. He is probably up 60-75k over the last 3 years betting sports on bovada.

What's up with this? Is this common practice with online books to show different lines to different accounts?

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10-09-2014 , 08:02 PM

#44

usagrindin

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 70

Quote:

Originally Posted by kingSLO68

I see HOU +3.5 (-105) and I've only placed one bet in my life on there.

Quote

10-09-2014 , 08:06 PM

#45

rwillia789

adept

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 927

taken texans +3 -110 for lots, seems huge with the colts O line injuries

Quote

10-09-2014 , 08:35 PM

#46

LanceFedora

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 203

Quote:

Originally Posted by silviodante1

You said the same thing about hawks/redskins.

Vegas and the sharps are losing so far this season. If you look at the game you will see I had the best line. Somehow TDs kept getting called back. You have to draw your own conclusions or ride with me.

Quote

10-09-2014 , 09:07 PM

#47

just_mo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,700

Quote:

Originally Posted by just_mo

Houston ML tonight ya'll

Like i said.

Wait what

Quote

10-09-2014 , 09:36 PM

#48

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

houston starting to build some momentum

Quote

10-09-2014 , 09:43 PM

#49

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

lol tackling is so bad in today's nfl. 3rd and 10 and guys are falling flat on their faces trying to make the tackle. This is the freaking nfl and the don't seem to know the basic rule of grab and wrap up.

Quote

10-09-2014 , 10:07 PM

#50

grumpy64

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 7,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by grumpy64

adding some 2h plays

philly-2.5-115
fins+3.5-115 2 units
jets+7.5-124 2 units
raiders+7 3 units
bucs O42-120 5 units
fins O48-117 5 units
bears+3.5-118 2 units
atl u53.5
jets+7.5-117 3 units
jets+10 3 units (this would be a 5 unit bet but i'm exposed enough on this game as it is)
dallas+8 2 units
houston+3
houston+.5-108 1h 2 units
texans+118 2 units
texans-1.5+107 3 units
tnf 2h O23.5 4 units

Last edited by grumpy64; 10-09-2014 at 10:09 PM. Reason: forgot to add units to the 2h total

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