I'll take that score all day, I'm relying on that three game teaser which gives me ATL -1.

Tough game for the bills.

Totally forgot to mention road teams on a Thursday game short week covers like 18% of the time.

Bucc's 0-fer last 9 in September games.

Adding:
Tampa Bay -6.5 -108

Added 1/2 unit on Atlanta tonight @ -6

Steven Jackson (ATL) NOT to score a TD -150

sorry by habit i forgot to include pushes. I'll redo the equation

The prop about a touchdown under 1.5 yards is + 105 , someone in this game is going to take a long shot at the endzone and a flag is going to come out for PI = ) for tonights game

of 6 point dogs
ats=132-159-8=-49.9 using a standard -110 line
su=81-218=-27.65 using a ml of 235.

So as was pointed out +235 is not enough to blindly bet 6 point dogs. So we know we can't blindly bet the ml on these games but that isn't the point. What we want to know is if our capping has told us that tampa +6 is the right side or in my case+6.5. Beat that closing number woot woot . Then is tampa +235 holding value. well 132/81=1.6296 but to error towards the side of caution we'll round up to 1.63. So the dog will cover 1.63 as many times at it wins su. So if we only look at games where the dog covers then yes the ml is +ev but if we look at all games both ats and ml are -ev but the ml is less -ev

By the way i got that info from the killersports DB. The query is 6=t:line

Not really a capping point but i don't know where the venting type threads are. Somebody needs to reeducate these Fing refs. I'm sick of them being out of position and seeing a QBs head snap back and assuming the defender hit him illegally. I've seen tons of hard hits to the chest that cause the head to snap back and some joker who didn't even see the actual contact will throw the flag like CY Young

Line back to 6.5. Which is confusing as early movement and late movement is usually sharp. Line dropped to from 6.5 to 6 just hours after the open despite atl having the majority of the action. Rlm is usually a good indicator of sharp moves. So i think 1 of 2 things are moving the line back to 6.5. One lots of the public will wait until gameday to bet and the sharp opinion is weak enough that they square money was able to overcome the sharp money. Which of course means we don't have true rlm. Or sharps really wanted atl -6 and poured money on 6.5 to move the line down. So then they hit -6 hard and the line went back to 6.5. My question would be is 6 really that desirable of a number? I mean it's not 3 or 7

Roddy white might sit tonight

oh another poster somewhere in this thread asked for convincing reasons to bet tampa instead of atl. Well i would not try and push a capper off a pick as i would feel bad if they left their side and picked my side and their original side won. Having said that i would start here tampa has a better defense then NO and NO while a top 4 nfc team imo is not a very good road team.

Oh according to a poster at another forum the line opened at -5.5 at vegas. I have multiple outlets to look at and i check the numbers frequently particularly sunday evening through monday and i never saw -5.5. Was this a vegas only number?

White is out, Martin is out. Lets play some football!!

Pic 6!!!

Need Auburn to pull it out -2 half

wow.......Hester 20 returns, passes Neon Deon for all time.

Well you can't win em all haha. I prefer getting blown out rather than losing in the final seconds. Now I can turn the TV off and focus on something else. I'll be the first to admit that I didn't see this coming. Here's a funny quote about tonight's game courtesy of my girlfriend. "Wow, they're doing worse than the Bronco's in the Superbowl. I didn't know that was possible."

Haha. Congrats Atlanta backers.

No biggie, Still about 270 something games left to go !!

bucs fumble machine

My comeback plays.. Lions -2.5 , Bills -2, Titans +7, Jags +7, Cards +3, Miami -4, Steelers +3.5 -120, Jets -3 +105.

Haven't looked at other games but please take the colts facing a must win game with Bradshaw showing his talent and luck hungry for some yardage. Jags will have the colts full attention. I like a blow out in this game.

FYI the 4th string wide out is the only one healthy on the jags. The tight ends are bad off as well. Toby fighting an ankle injury. The whole team is a mess

Det lions ~2.5

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Lol hard core gamblers betting that game. That's a tough match up

Raiders +14 -105 (Bovada)

Safest pick this weekend?