What to make of this overbet? - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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What to make of this overbet?

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11-05-2009 , 06:58 PM

Luck3yChance

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 1,901

Villain is 33/27/1.4 but only over 32 hands. Not sure what to make of his overbet on the river. What do you think?'

Full Tilt Poker $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $20.00
BTN: $106.95
SB: $100.00
Hero (BB): $134.35
UTG: $122.10
MP: $45.90

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with 8

3 folds, BTN raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($6.50) Q

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($6.50) 4

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $4.00, Hero calls $4

River: ($14.50) 9

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $20.00, Hero ???

11-05-2009 , 07:03 PM

cs3

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 13,648

pretty trivial fold. much more interesting if you had say AQ (in which case you would never ever get to the river the way you did)

11-05-2009 , 07:06 PM

jjyykk

now YugiohPro

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 9,399

cs3 can you expand on why this is a trivial fold and why AQ would be difficult as well?

11-05-2009 , 07:10 PM

cs3

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 13,648

well you have no money in the pot, over bets are almost always the nuts, and he could be doin this with Qx.

11-05-2009 , 07:15 PM

carrotsnake

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 3,692

errr, he's not doing this with Qx man. Its either 4x he check back, 99 that got lucky or air. 32 hands means nothing though and I'd agree this range s more polarized towards nuts(in this case, based on bet sizing 99). I'd say 88=AQ in this situation and that probably =AK. Either way, I'd fold here and watch for this tendency to repeat itself at all.

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