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Villain reps set, I have overpair, sets are hard to make, nasty river Villain reps set, I have overpair, sets are hard to make, nasty river

08-31-2009 , 06:52 PM
Party Poker $100 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (CO): $408.00
BTN: $120.57
SB: $100.00
BB: $108.05
UTG: $100.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is CO with 9 9
1 fold, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, SB calls $3.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($9.00) 2 3 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $6.41, SB raises to $15, Hero calls $8.59

Turn: ($39.00) T (2 players)
SB bets $19, Hero calls $19

River: ($77.00) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $54, Hero ??

So villain flats a lot from blinds and checkraises a lot too, like 15% or so
he plays Laggy, 27/20, don't recall the exact numbers

On flop and turn I think 99 beats his range because sets are a lot less combos than bluffs/semibluffs
river is kinda sucyk since 44 and 55 now beat me and I think they are in his range

fold river, nh?
08-31-2009 , 07:06 PM
i usually like hero calling these boards, but the BdFD got there, he can put you on your mid PP pretty easy here.

some of these regs are so bad though, and just fire thrid shell w/o thinking.
like he is really only repping sets and flopped strait and riverd flush. vbetting 2pr would be pretty thin for most guys.

idk, hella hard imo. no comment.
08-31-2009 , 07:11 PM
i think he has some hand that the river hit based on his bet sizing, id imagine people would barrel larger with air on the turn.
08-31-2009 , 07:15 PM
I like jamming the turn against this guy. 15% check raise is way out of line - guys who only CR sets+ have this stat at around 3-5%. There is already $58 in the middle and his bet sizing looks like like a blocker bet for a fd, 5-6 or 3-4, all of which have pretty big equity against you.

I guess call/call is good though if you plan on calling any non 4 or 5 river and you know this guy likes to fire 3 barrels often. If he doesn't like to fire 3 barrels often then I think calling the turn is by far the worst of the 3 options as he will own your soul when he has you beat but get a cheap river when you have him beat.

Last edited by Kardnel; 08-31-2009 at 07:22 PM.

      
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