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Turn spot Turn spot

10-08-2009 , 11:03 AM
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
SB ($186)
BB ($85.16)
UTG ($524)
Hero ($199)
BTN ($700)

Dealt to Hero A Q

UTG raises to $7, Hero calls $7, fold, fold, BB calls $5

FLOP ($22) 2 4 A

BB checks, UTG bets $14, Hero calls $14, BB calls $14

TURN ($64) 2 4 A 8

BB bets $64.16 (AI), UTG calls $64.16, Hero........

UTG is 19/17 over a small sample, BB is 40/9/2.3 fish.

Fold, call or shove? I'm not too worried about the fish as he's an aggro donk. Is this a shove as UTG will often have worse Ax hands and I'm pretty much close the the top of my range.
10-08-2009 , 11:05 AM
i would fold...1 raiser and 1 caller in front of you it could be A2, A4, or A8, sets.

very unlikely they both have draws
10-08-2009 , 05:18 PM
Bump any other thoughts on this?
10-08-2009 , 05:19 PM
This spot sucks. I don't know wtf UTG is doing here but i think he is over valuing a set/AK and you are probably almost always beat. I don't see him showing up with weaker aces and he doesn't have that many draws in his range by the turn.
10-08-2009 , 05:22 PM
I'd just be too tempted not to call again. UTG not raising his premiums to charge draws makes little sense if he's decent and BB probably has UNO cards.
10-09-2009 , 01:25 AM
def fold, even tho theres two draws out ur behind here a ton

      
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