CO 1,1k hands, 29/22, Pfr CO 27/ Fvs3b 16/ FvsCb 3bP 20(FL)/0(T)
AF 43/44/34(HM)
Opponents seems to be some sticky weak reg, but sample is small. As played what is the best line for river?

$0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players


Hero (SB): $100 (100 bb)
BB: $166.15 (166.2 bb)
UTG: $320.57 (320.6 bb)
MP: $105.46 (105.5 bb)
CO: $189.39 (189.4 bb)
BTN: $40 (40 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A K
2 folds, CO raises to $3, BTN folds, Hero raises to $11, BB folds, CO calls $8

Flop: ($23) A 9 T (2 players)
Hero bets $12, CO calls $12

Turn: ($47) T (2 players)
Hero bets $23, CO calls $23

River: ($93) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $30, Hero calls $30

I think we have enough weaker Aces to bluffcatch the river, no?

Bet

I'm triple barreling all in as default. AJ/AQ could call you.

This

His Fvs3B=16% do I read this correct? So he generally has almost all his CO RFI range still here. 27% CO RFI; 16% Fvs 3B, this means he has around 20% of hands here.

Let's see what he might have after flop and river action:
1) Against all flush draws and straight draws X on the river is better
2) Against all his weak Aces bet on the river ~40-60% pot size is better (he does not have QQ or JJ ever due to his weak river bet)
3) Against all his T or sets X is better (X/C for bluff catch)

So I guess it's just a matter of counting possible card combos
As played You can not fold this ever. His bet of 30 USD is a joke

I guess both betting the river for value and folding to shove and X/C are fine here

If You checked river and he shoved that would be a fun spot

flop cbet is too big for range reasons but whatever, river is a shove, although betting and checking prolly have somewhat close ev, AK in general is a must shove. The obv hand for c/calling is AA tho this is one of the odd AK combos u can make a case for using as a bluffcatcher since it doesnt block Ks/QJ or backdoor diamond broadways and is one of the better bluffcatchers tho i imagine AQ w/o Qs is still better since it has less cooler value.

Depending on the size of course

for example?

I'm betting this river, but to this bet call me a station, but I'm never folding.

AK should be tripled here.

Its a good spot to bluff catch and let him bluff missed junk but not at the expense of AK. Choose the bottom of the Axss/Axo that you 3bet.

if anyone calls you a station for calling river in this spot, well - they should learn how to play poker.

On the river we only have $54 left in the pot is over 90 so I think you're shoving the river is best. If we were deeper I prefer check call

thanks guys

You can't know about his weak river bet before your action. So you cant take this in consideration

CR