Top set on 4 flush board with 2/5 pot bet left - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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Top set on 4 flush board with 2/5 pot bet left

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03-02-2010 , 10:34 PM

ringinabox

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 3,081

1800 hands on villian. Folds to 3 bet 28% of the time he's 21/16, 4 bet 20% of the time. He folds to c-bet in 3 bet pot 27% of the time.

What in the world is the correct play on the river?

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
Hero ($205)
BB ($105)
UTG ($264)
UTG+1 ($223)
CO ($200)
BTN ($114)

Dealt to Hero K

fold, fold, CO raises to $7, fold, Hero raises to $24, fold, CO calls $17

FLOP ($50) 9

Hero bets $30, CO calls $30

TURN ($110) 9

Hero bets $60, CO calls $60

RIVER ($230) 9

Hero ???),

03-02-2010 , 11:39 PM

NicReynolds

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 10,540

Sucks but cf. Kinda hard to see him getting to the river without a big club unless he has exactly 9Ts which he'l prob check behind.

03-02-2010 , 11:49 PM

WordWhiz

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 1,545

There are so many bad cards that can come on turn and river (Q/J, mainly) that I'd be trying to get this all in over 2 streets, not 3. Pot flop, shove turn. If villain never folds to c-bet in 3bet pot, you should be making it bigger here anyway.

03-03-2010 , 01:44 AM

ringinabox

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 3,081

Quote:

Originally Posted by WordWhiz

ya this seems absolutely true

03-03-2010 , 03:29 AM

pokeriseasy

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 3,621

Quote:

Originally Posted by WordWhiz

I disagree, pot flop, shove turn is just going to miss so much value. Yea there are scare cards but he flatted a big 3bet OOP he doesn't have a very wide range, it's not like he should have a ton of club combos, and if he does whatever he has 8 outs, straight draws have 4 or 8 outs against us, combo draws will get it in on the flop a lot. I personally would 3bet smaller and as a result bet flop and turn and smaller. As played I think you have to c/f.

03-03-2010 , 03:45 AM

lejean80

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 1,865

c/f seems the best play. Most people won't turn their made-hands into bluffs at 1/2 and I don't see any busted draws beside AQo without a

and this hand can't call your turn bet.

03-03-2010 , 05:11 AM

my4betyoufold

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 85

c/f imo

03-03-2010 , 10:04 AM

KCrow

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 4,383

Repeatedly punch your monitor.

I'd make it more on the flop and a little more on the turn.

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