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Str8 with 99 Str8 with 99

03-10-2012 , 05:31 AM
Villain is 16/14/4.6 over 128k hands. Haven't seen anything out of the ordinary.


How much should I bet this river and should I fold if he raises??


Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

UTG: $160.46
CO: $220.31
BTN: $200.34
SB: $260.08
Hero (BB): $270.14

SB posts SB $1.00, Hero posts BB $2.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero has 9 9

UTG calls $2.00, fold, BTN raises to $8.00, fold, Hero calls $6.00, UTG calls $6.00

Flop: ($25.00, 3 players) 8 J T
Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN bets $19.00, Hero calls $19.00, fold

Turn: ($63.00, 2 players) 7
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($63.00, 2 players) Q
Hero ??
03-10-2012 , 06:30 AM
my first strat post on here in ages but im pretty sure this is a fold on the flop..

ur never getting to showdown profitably and your IOs are horrid

as played, bet $28? i dno, whatever u think he'll call.. not sure why you're asking about him raising given he'll be doing so less than one in every 30 times..
03-10-2012 , 10:57 AM
Id def 3bet pre.. calling is not super bad but def isnt optimal with the fish involved

yeah x/fold flop pretty much.. Id assume hes superstrong if he bets this structure 3way and even if hes fos you cant captialise on it most of the time (its very easy for him to play almost any hand correct to a certain extend)

hard to rep bluffs OTR but it doesnt matter much

bet against 2pair obv .. so ~40-48 looks alright
03-11-2012 , 06:16 AM
I fold the flop because

a) BUT is betting into both of you on a flop texture where he never has air
b) We are sandwiched between them making it possible we get squeezed out of the pot at some point, and makes it super difficult to get to SD unimporved
c) our draw is super obvious and it will be extremely hard to get value from worse, even when we hit.

Check calling flop is burning money imo.

      
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