Villain is a 36/30 over reasonable sample size who stabs at pots and whi is able to make moves.

My reasoning for betting the river is this: by betting the river hands as JJ, TT, QJs and QTs can call me as bluffcatchers ,since I could have missed my flush draw. That's a total of 20 combos

The only hands I fear is AQ really since KK and AA he would have bet the river. These are 16 combos.

Since the majority of combos are those that I can beat, I bet the river. Should I bet river and how much?


Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1.00(BB) Replayer
SB ($90.50)
Hero ($100)
CO ($40)
BTN ($325.50)

Dealt to Hero Q K

CO calls $1, fold, SB raises to $4, Hero calls $3, CO calls $3

FLOP ($12) Q 7 5

SB bets $9, Hero calls $9, CO folds

TURN ($30) Q 7 5 3

SB bets $20, Hero calls $20

RIVER ($70) Q 7 5 3 9

SB checks, Hero bets ???

If he feels you will bet missed draws then he may look you up but I don't really think any bet gets called by worse than KQ.

I think EV must be about neutral here so I'd check without having the kind of table image that gets me looked up

16 combos AQ.. are you sure?

Id bet 38$ish

Shove, and hate life when you get valueowned by AQ.

Either check, or shove, depending on villian

Oops I meant 8 combos. I don't feel he should ever be checking AQ here. Would any of you be checking AQ in this spot as villain? He gets the occasional value from missed draws but misses tons of value against worse queens.

This seems like a clear shove to me against an aggro 36/30 fish.