thought this spot was pretty interesting
villain is a okay reg, running 25/20/8 over larger sample, opens 53% in the SB and calls 50% vs 3bet. and don't like folding post. but he does do some weird stuff everynow and thing, weird bluff that don't make sense range wise. overall pretty aggro
folding 26/43 on flop and turns in 3b pots.
w$sd% 49

hero's image is just clicky and barrel happy, haven't played much hands with him since I changed my game he probably still view me as the old barrel/give up dude.

pre flop turn are pretty standard, sizing I think it's fine although turn we could go larger but I think it's fine range wise

river he jam in 2s. almost a snap jam. and I'm not sure, since I'm still perceived to jam a lot of my 2 pairs/set/straight/some bluffs. I don't think he should jam a flush, on the otherside he shouldn't be able to think I'm folding AQ+ to his jam.

so his value is obv all the AxS, K8s if he denfends that,didn't include KT,T8 since donking a SF seems meh. and that's about it, not many combos since he should fold a lot of weak fd like 78s vs turn barrel

bluffs wise, again I'm not sure he is always calling KJ/KQ/QT/JT one spade and decided to bluff with them.



thoughts?

Bleh, hating life...I think tbh it's a fold. Most of the draws got there, I doubt he turns stuff like AsX into a bluff and he should know your range is nutted as hell on this board.

I couldn't fold AQ, but I think we really should chuck this. We've got all the sets, plenty of flushes etc.

i'm folding as well.

we are also not afraid of villain doing this with broadways with a spade as less than 1 in 4 rivers is a spade and he would be burning money by calling against a reasonable turn-barrel range.

I'm probably not stoked on it, but I think they're right, it's a fold. There was a similar spot in another thread where the river brought a 4-flush and someone (grinder4all maybe) was talking about calling the jam on a non flush river. I think it's a bit the same.

Here's a follow up question:
if stacks were deeper, say 200bb and villain over-bet shoves would it be closer to a call? As is, he has no fold equity. WIth deeper stacks does the likelihood of bluff increase?