nl200 - should I donkbet this flop? - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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nl200 - should I donkbet this flop?

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02-20-2009 , 09:39 AM

Nitrub

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 4,386

Poker Stars $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 44403
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: $200.00
MP: $336.00
CO: $381.85
BTN: $225.75
SB: $246.00
Hero (BB): $200.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BB with 7

UTG raises to $6, 1 fold, CO calls $6, 2 folds, Hero calls $4

Flop: ($19.00) 4

(3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets $14, Hero calls $14, UTG folds

Turn: ($47.00) 2

(2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $32, Hero folds

2 LAG villains.
Is donking this flop good? Puts the pfr'er in a bad spot.

02-20-2009 , 09:52 AM

TyFuji

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 1,615

c/c is okay, I think bet/shove or c/r are both valid options as well. We have 10 outs + bdfd vs. an overpair, so we should have no problem being aggressive. I think I like bet/shove best since PFR will raise/fold a decent amount of the time and you win a big pot. You also get to reassess your situation if UTG calls/raises your donk, wheras if you c/r or c/c you don't know what he's going to do behind you...

02-20-2009 , 10:01 AM

skibbel

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 4,867

Quote:

Originally Posted by TyFuji

I think bet/shove or c/r are both valid options as well.

UTGs raise/calling range has us crushed imho:
Board: 7d 5d 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 33.912% 32.80% 01.11% 14936 507.50 { 8s7s }
Hand 1: 66.088% 64.97% 01.11% 29589 507.50 { TT+, 88-77, 6c6s, 55-44, AdKd, AdQd, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, KdQd }

02-20-2009 , 11:34 AM

craiggerz

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 5,487

bet/shove and c/r are both really bad.

this looks like a great spot to lead if you're confident enough in reads to get away from the hand later if need be.

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