villian plays 19/15, 3betting from BU 3%.
couple orbits ago he 3bet, then shoved JJ from the BB vs my CO open (KK) and like 2 hands ago i c/red 3 way w/o ini on a 49c7c board and he folded after cbetting in position...

soo i kinda expected him to play back at me on this kind of flop, (flop AF 5.2, raise cbet 13) so i went for bet/call and wanted to see a turn (his turn af is really low 1.9)
also hes not repping much besides a draw or maybe just air, trying to play back (or maybe raisng 88-TT for value?)

what now on the turn? standard c/f, since most of his flop raising range is probably a draw (or maybe a better overpair (low 3bet from BU)), or c/c another street? (or turn my hand into a bluff // very weak semi bluff?)
lead?


$200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: $197.00
SB: $234.30
BB: $216.20
Hero (UTG): $567.90
MP: $201.55
CO: $51.95

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is UTG with 7 7
Hero raises to $8, 2 folds, BTN calls $8, 2 folds

Flop: ($19.00) 5 3 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $11.00, BTN raises to $34, Hero calls $23

Turn: ($87.00) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $51.00, Hero ??

turn looks like a fold, dunno what we beat here. I might b/f turn though considering his low turn AF.

I don't mind folding flop. He has to know that he isn't folding out any decent overpairs, which is a decent part of your cbetting range, so he's either got that beat or he has good equity against that kind of hand. Given that something like 8h 9h has you in a whole lot of (well disguised) trouble, fold is fine.

Turn though, I don't mind calling but I think it's still a fold. There just isn't enough in his range that we have good equity against for us to make up for all the hands in his range that have us crushed/drawing to likely outs.

mhm i think i play it totaly different sciolist. i def. don't fold this flop against this villain w/ that history. but def. folding the turn and it's not even close, everything gets there and he bets again w/ that low af. (althought i don't really think its a reliable data w/o enough samplesize)

i wouldn't be surprised to see 55 or xhxh

if you think he is going to play back at you - fold or 3bet him on the flop, coz if you turn 8,9,T,J,Q,4,2 - what are you going to do? plus if he is doing this with KJ, QJ, AT he's got a lot of counterfeit equity and you are OOP, not knowing what really hits him

oh yeah playforfoodz is totaly right, def. 3bet/call, dunno what i thought before, calling is not good.