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NL100 TP2ndK facing triple barrell NL100 TP2ndK facing triple barrell

10-05-2010 , 05:12 PM
Hey, Villain is 24/24/3.8 over 1k hands. His flop c-bet is 51%, turn c-bet 54% (13 sample size though).


IPoker Network $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

BB: $32.00
UTG: $162.95
CO: $100.00
Hero (BTN): $100.00
SB: $153.98

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with Q K
1 fold, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $3, 1 fold, BB calls $2

Flop: ($9.50) K 7 T (3 players)
BB checks, CO bets $7.00, Hero calls $7, BB folds

Turn: ($23.50) 4 (2 players)
CO bets $18.00, Hero calls $18

River: ($59.50) T (2 players)
CO bets $32.00, Hero ???

Does your decision change if the river was a brick like the 2 of spades ?
Against an unknown reg, whats your standard with TP2ndK on a board people don't usually triple barrell (Like AQ on A273T rainbow flop and no 3flush)
Thanks a lot
10-05-2010 , 07:36 PM
Fold

I'd still probably fold on the 2 of spades

In the AQ hand you have described it would depend a lot on the amount villain bet on the river and type of villain.
10-05-2010 , 07:46 PM
Thanks. Actually I meant the 2 of diamonds, even though the BDFD shouldn't make much of a difference.
10-06-2010 , 12:58 AM
i like a fold here
10-06-2010 , 09:51 AM
The Ts is really one of the best rivercards for him to barrel if we fold KQ, isnt it?

I mean our callingrange will be trips and flushes. And I dont think we will have a ton of flushes here. Sometimes we could have 98 or QJ with which we made the bdfd altough I guess we sometimes play the draws as a semibluff.
And there arent that many hands were we called the flop with a pair, picked at the turn the bdfd and called again.

On the otherside I would say that he wont vbet that thin here. TP hands will very likely check the river. So he is very polarized towards trips, flushes and bluffs like AQ, QJ, 98 etc.
If he thinks like that he will bluff here a lot because we wont have the flush/trips or often enough. He only needs us folding like 35% to bluff profitable.
Therefore I think call > bluffraise > fold

      
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