BTN is a winning-regular, more on the nitty site w/ 20/17 but 3bets 10% vs. CO-open raise overall, mostly beeing on BTN and not so much from the blins (12% 3bet in BTN).

C-bet stats in 3bet pots are 71/58 (flop/turn) after 10k hands.

BB is a 57/6, table-target. Does not fold to flop/turn c-bets often but almost always against the 3rd barrell. Don't know if BTN realized this.

I feel like beeing always faced with 3 barrells in 3bet pots and always run into monsters when seeing SD.



Stacks:
UTG ($107.15)
UTG+1 ($143.09)
Hero (CO) ($138)
BTN ($100)
SB ($116.30)
BB ($87.30)

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is CO Q K
2 folds, Hero raises to $3, BTN raises to $8, 1 fold, BB calls $7, Hero calls $5

Flop: 5 5 K ($24.50, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $8, BB folds, Hero calls $8

Turn: 7 ($40.50, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $18, Hero calls $18

River: 9 ($76.50, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $66, Hero?

i would fold

why?

his turn sizing seems like he wants to induce, and our perceived range is super wide when fish colds calls the 3bet.

We can have a bunch of value hands by the river, and i dont think villain expects us to fold.

Villain should be tripling all his air that bets the turn, not sure if this makes river a call though.

edit: especially when spades get there, he has a lot of value hands at the river.

I am shoving the turn unless you have reads about his bet sizins or riverbluffing freq.

Can you elaborate a little please?