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NL100 River 2p facing raise from fish NL100 River 2p facing raise from fish

10-27-2010 , 10:20 AM
Hey, Villain is a 52/13/1.2 with 9% donkbet (32 samples).

He raise shoved me just a couple of hands ago on a brick turn where i double barelled a 3flush flop.

IPoker Network $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 3 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

Hero (BTN): $100.00
SB: $111.40
BB: $106.55

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with A 4
Hero raises to $3, SB calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($7.00) 5 A 6 (2 players)
SB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2

Turn: ($11.00) J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $7.00, SB calls $7

River: ($25.00) 4 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $18.00, SB raises to $99.40, Hero ???

It looks a lot like 78 but is he also capable of doing this with 54/64 or some random crap ? Thanks
10-27-2010 , 10:56 AM
This looks like 78 to me, the donk bet is usually a draw. So I would probably fold.
10-27-2010 , 11:22 AM
Its gross but you have to fold. He might even play sets like this.

His value range you beat : {64,54}
His value range beating you : {AA,66,55,44,AJ,A5,A6,78}
10-27-2010 , 12:21 PM
If we include 64/54 and sets, can we also include J4/J5/J6 ? thanks
10-27-2010 , 12:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by KlaSuu
He raise shoved me just a couple of hands ago on a brick turn where i double barelled a 3flush flop.
What were the results of this hand? I'm guessing you folded?

Quote:
If we include 64/54 and sets, can we also include J4/J5/J6 ? thanks
I would think we should at least include all combos of J4s, J5s, and J6s in addition to 65 (since we're also included flopped sets and aces up) and the occasional missed draw/random ******ed spazz. Which probably makes this a call, although I don't have stove on this computer so can't verify...
10-27-2010 , 01:27 PM
Yeah forgot about that, I folded that previous hand where he raised me.

Pot odds are 35%

He has 52% so If we assume that is his range in the SB, then he can have J4s-J6s, A4o-A6o, AJo/s, 44-66, AA, JJ, 78s and 65s.

Pokerstove gives us 22% against that range, even if we exclude AA/JJ and AJo/s, we only have 28.5%. Does he have enough random spewy raises ?
10-27-2010 , 02:38 PM
I don't think there is enough spew/ bluffs in his range to warrant a call. Good fold.
10-27-2010 , 07:31 PM
i fold

      
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