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NL100 : Bottom set facing a raise on the flop (200bbs deep) NL100 : Bottom set facing a raise on the flop (200bbs deep)

11-03-2010 , 04:17 PM
Hi,

Villain is 22/17/2.5 raise cb 14% over a 1k hands

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($43.44)
BB ($99.95)
Hero ($222)
CO ($108)
BTN ($206)

Dealt to Hero 2 2

Hero raises to $3.50, fold, BTN calls $3.50, fold, fold

FLOP ($8.50) Q 2 T

Hero bets $6.40, BTN raises to $18.50,
Spoiler:
Hero calls $12.10

TURN ($45.50) Q 2 T 4

Hero checks, BTN bets $30.50, Hero calls $30.50

RIVER ($106) Q 2 T 4 J

Hero checks, BTN bets $81, Hero folds

BTN wins $103


(my play in spoiler)

Thanks in advance.
11-03-2010 , 04:28 PM
Raise flop or check/rise turn? Seems like your missing heaps of value with your line.
11-03-2010 , 05:11 PM
Flop and turn are ok without more reads but I call river.
His betsize is kinda poor for the stack sizes.
11-03-2010 , 06:06 PM
i 3bet flop get it in.
11-03-2010 , 06:06 PM
he has 3 combos of TT ahead of you
he has A3ss-A9ss/AJss/KJss/J9ss/QTs (13 combos) which you absolutely crush with over 70% equity even though he (wrongly) thinks he is splitting here at worst almost always.

very very easy re-raise and continue firing


as played, folding that river, which hits nothing of his raise for value range is just ridiculous. not only did basically every single bluff in his range miss, but he could be value betting worse with QT there.


this hand makes my eyes bleed
11-03-2010 , 06:53 PM
3bet the flop. especially on board which has flush draw and straight draw.
11-03-2010 , 07:10 PM
I don't get it, if you are opening 22 in MP then this is the situation you are looking for...? Even deep I don't see you being beat very often as people generally reraise QQ/AK (the hands we fear on the river) and so it's only really TT plus a caller can have a ton of other raising hands on the flop like Axss, QT, KJ, J9, 98s, some can even raise KQ/AQ for value here, weaker flush draws (65s), etc etc...

Your line suggests you don't think he can ever be bluffing OR have a worse value hand, do people really play that nitty this deep?

      
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