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nl100 - AK, 3bet pot, raised on low flop, shove? nl100 - AK, 3bet pot, raised on low flop, shove?

09-28-2009 , 10:20 AM
villain is an aggro reg playing 28/26/6.0 AF, 10% 3bet and 67% fold to 3bet over 450 hands + he raises 20% of cbets...

Entraction $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (SB): $105.10
BB: $160.99
UTG: $100.00
MP: $123.25
CO: $101.00
BTN: $100.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with A K
1 fold, MP raises to $3, 2 folds, Hero raises to $10, 1 fold, MP calls $7

Flop: ($21.00) 3 5 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $15.00, MP raises to $35, Hero thinks about shoving?

okay i should probably not cbet this board, but I did it anyway... but as played, would a shove be complete spew here against this villain? I almost always have 6 clean outs if called plus as aggro as he is there's probably a good chance he's making a move...

do you think villain folds a hand like 88-TT to a shove? thoughts pleeeease!
09-28-2009 , 01:01 PM
people are bad enough to be raising 88-JJ here, and no they never intend to fold.
Call is good because he's not going to continue bluffing on the turn with his KQ/AJ/AQ hands on the turn once you call (as well as other non-paired hands). Also if a K or A hits he's likely to bluff it off

shoving is bad because he only calls you when you're beat
09-28-2009 , 02:06 PM
cbetting this board is fine, cbetting less would be even better. n4rf hit it on the head pretty well. nl100 vills are def capable of bluffing, and a lot of the cards that he bluffs on the turn are going to be good for us.

i really don't like floating OOP here. if you have seen villain bluff raise in spots like this before and not follow through on the turn then go for it, float away. i kind of like shoving more than folding, yes he only calls when we're ahead, but there is lots of dead money so our shove doesn't even have to work that often when we're ahead. to shove here i would have to of seen villain bluff before.
09-28-2009 , 02:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by n4rf
people are bad enough to be raising 88-JJ here, and no they never intend to fold.
Call is good because he's not going to continue bluffing on the turn with his KQ/AJ/AQ hands on the turn once you call (as well as other non-paired hands). Also if a K or A hits he's likely to bluff it off

shoving is bad because he only calls you when you're beat
+1 no sense in shoving and I think he shuts down on turn

      
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