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nl 200 set on the river nl 200 set on the river

09-23-2009 , 04:45 AM
Hey guys,

mabye this is pretty standart, but what is my plan on the river.
villian is a regular with 18/14 and 25 wts - 2.9 af (1,4k hands). we played a couple of hands together this session and he stacked me once with set over set (he c/r a dry flop with top set and overbetshoved the turn which completed a oesd from the flop).

is this a clear valuebet on the river? which hands could he call there ? be aware a c/r on the river would be pretty ugly 2 stacks deep.


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Party-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Hero (MP) ($468.30)
UTG ($428.39)
Button ($586.53)
SB ($200)
CO ($505.45)
BB ($322.88)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 6, 6
UTG bets $7, Hero calls $7, CO calls $7, 3 folds

Flop: ($24) 5, 6, 3 (3 players)
UTG bets $15, Hero raises $37.90, 1 fold, UTG calls $22.90

Turn: ($99.80) 9 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $72.60, UTG calls $72.60

River: ($245) 10 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero ???
09-23-2009 , 05:16 AM
Just shove...nitty guy usually don't have straight here cause his UTG open doesn't consist 78s...or especially 24 or 74.

There's no reasonable possibility that he has a flush.

He might have here something like AA or KK...maybe nitty played set of fives or threes...or some miraculous set of nines.
09-23-2009 , 05:47 AM
What do people think about bet folding $80?

      
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