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NL 200 - facing surprising river bet NL 200 - facing surprising river bet

11-24-2007 , 09:22 PM
Hi, first reaction was to fold given that villain couldnt have had nut flush draw and he would block bet smaller with the King. Curiosity got the better of me :-)

villain runs at 44/24/1.6 over a really insignificant sample





Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|saw showdown

BB ($94.25)
UTG ($194)
MP ($105.60)
Hero ($330.40)
SB ($118.25)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, T.
2 folds, Hero raises to $7, 1 fold, BB calls $5.

Flop: ($15) 4, 4, K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($15) A (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $10, BB calls $10.

River: ($35) 8 (2 players)
BB bets $35, Hero calls $35.

Final Pot: $105
11-24-2007 , 09:31 PM
Why not cbet the flop?
The river could be a missed flushdraw. But it could be a 88, A8, AQ, 45 too. I dont think he c/c turn with AK+ b/c of his AF, and flushdraw.. You have to win 33% of the time at the rivercall, so i think it is profitable to call, unless he is very straightforward player at river.
11-24-2007 , 09:32 PM
bet the flop...river is okay.

      
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