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NL 100 tptk raised on turn NL 100 tptk raised on turn

12-30-2009 , 02:47 PM
Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $307.40
BTN: $100.00
SB: $170.90
BB: $133.30
Hero (UTG): $100.00
MP: $39.70

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is UTG with J A
Hero raises to $3.50, 1 fold, CO calls $3.50, 2 folds, BB calls $2.50

Flop: ($11.00) 5 2 J (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $8, CO folds, BB calls $8

Turn: ($27.00) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $15, BB raises to $48

Villian is playing 26/21 over 620 hands.Unsure what to do in this spot hes repping a real narrow range only really 22 or a 56s,A5s hand maybe kJ,QJs which we beat.I also cant see him getting that out of line in a multiway pot although I did bet pretty small to try to get value from his smaller PPs so he could be making a move.Thoughts?
12-30-2009 , 04:37 PM
can he be turning MPP into a bluff?
12-30-2009 , 09:00 PM
Fold. Opponent is never raising worse for value. Your hand isn't that great. Your opponent has to have a history of raising turns light for you to even consider calling. I havent done an EV calc on a turn raise for a hand like this but your opponent has to be bluffing or semibluffing hands like ak aq, a lot for calling or shoving to be considered. Also a semi bluff is less likely because you have the ace of diamonds.
12-30-2009 , 10:25 PM
Whats with your betsizing? Your turn bet could be inducing here. To me ur hand looks like air or TT/99 etc. He may be turning a small PP into a bluff. We are crushed by his value range cos he never raises QJ/KJ for value here so its all down to his bluff tendencies and any reads you have on him.

I guess I would fold although ur turn betsize plus the fact he raised so big is making me want to call.

      
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