Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: $137.25
BB: $74.80
Hero (CO): $100.00
BTN: $98.50

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is CO with 4 4
Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, SB calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($7.00) J 4 K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5.25, SB calls $5.25

Turn: ($17.50) 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $14, SB calls $14

River: ($45.50) T (2 players)
SB checks

Hero???

Villain is 26/15/2.7 over 42 hands. On the flop when he calls I think we can put him on a K, a J, maybe a naked flush draw, and maybe a K+fd. On the turn I think he will continue with a K and a K+fd if we bet big, as we do.

Going to the river I think we still have to vb, as our hand is still fairly strong and can get called by worse. I think his hand range is either a flush (K+fd), or a naked king, with the latter being the bigger part of his range, so we want to make the biggest bet that will still get called by a naked king. A naked king will have a hard time calling anything close to full-pot, so I'm thinking a half pot bet would be optimal here and we can fold to a c/r.

Does all this seem reasonable?

35? What is the question?

Mainly what sizing is good and whether my reasoning makes sense or not. Do you think we'll still get value from a naked K if we bet 35 (I don't have very many hands at this stake for 6-max so I'm not sure)? Also, do you think I am correct in saying that by the river his range is mainly just either a naked K or a flush?

Dude AJ might call you here. Welcome to 100nl 6m.

lol, fair enough.

i bet fold like 29

He could reasonably have no hands that beat you in his range

So then if he does a c/r we snap?

errrr idk if b/c a c/r on the river is good... i think you b/f, but i really doubt he's c/r the river in this spot