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NL 100 KJ bluff catch against a bluffy and donky player NL 100 KJ bluff catch against a bluffy and donky player

03-27-2008 , 05:32 AM
OnGame's Room No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (5 handed)

UTG ($116.75)
MP ($222.80)
Hero ($105.05)
SB ($103.70)
BB ($215.75)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, J.
UTG folds, MP folds, Hero raises to $4, SB calls $3.50, BB calls $3.

Flop: ($12) J, 3, 8 [color:#0000FF](3 players)[/color]
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $8.6, SB folds, BB calls $8.60.

Turn: ($29.20) 7 [color:#0000FF](2 players)[/color]
BB checks, Hero bets $20.8, BB calls $20.80.

River: ($70.80) Q [color:#0000FF](2 players)[/color]
BB bets $60, Hero calls $60.

Final Pot: $190.80


he was a 32/24/3.4 player. shownd donw some donky plays, mass minraises etc.

can i call this ? or easy fold ? there are draws that missed and i see not many hands he play this way that have me beat. i think a set he would rase at some point. the only possible hand would be a rivered 2 pair or a AQs type hand that rivered a pair. so i put him most oft the time on a bluff.
03-27-2008 , 06:24 AM
KdQd is possible but why would he bet so much with just a pair on the river and expect to get called by a worse hand?

88 or 33 seem likely. You said 'he would raise at some point' but $25 c/r on the flop would make you speculate, a big $60 c/r on the turn would be impossible to call with a pair of jacks because it's too much in the first place and you would have to anticipate an all-in on the river. So I think it makes sense that he wakes up on the river and bets.

He might be slow-playing a straight with T9 and his line makes sense again. He didn't want to raise exactly when his card hit so he bets on the river. The only problem with a set or a straight is that he's betting a lot on an over-card which will scare any smaller pair.

I don't know, it looks like he's spewing with a missed flush draw but these two other possibilities might show up too. If you think he's bluffing 1/3 times here, call.
03-27-2008 , 07:00 AM
Very tough spot. I think I´d fold. We´re pretty much only beating a missed flush draw, but it´s close. With some more reads on him I might call. If you did, plz PM me with results.

      
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