Fold AA on turn ? - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

Two Plus Two Forums Archived Forums Strategy Small Stakes PL/NL

Fold AA on turn ?

...

02-02-2009 , 09:35 AM

ProfPanik

enthusiast

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 69

Villan is a solid TAG with stats 18/15/2.8 with 5.4 3bet over 3K Hands
No big history against him but never see him doing something really stupid..

folding this turn is standard?

Unibet $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 26400
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $112.65
Hero (BTN): $98.50
SB: $116.10
BB: $95.00
UTG: $114.95
MP: $100.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with A

3 folds, Hero raises to $3, SB calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($7.00) 3

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.50, SB calls $4.50

Turn: ($16.00) J

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $12.50, SB raises to $38, Hero ??

02-02-2009 , 09:43 AM

BuddhaMonk187

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 4,475

dont fold, the only thing that beats you is KJ imo, and he's pretty aggr, so I think I might push

02-02-2009 , 09:46 AM

wakeup

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 2,936

uhh idunno what other than like KJ he's c/r the turn not the flop

02-02-2009 , 10:00 AM

ProfPanik

enthusiast

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 69

hmmm ..
33 or 77 can raise the turn only too...

02-02-2009 , 10:09 AM

P Chippa

bacon messiah

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 6,234

18 vpip aren't calling with KJ from the SB very often. I think this is a set a huge amount of the time. I usually get this figured out, then get stacked anyways. Leak imo.

02-02-2009 , 10:13 AM

pablito_21

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 2,872

Quote:

Originally Posted by P Chippa

18 vpip aren't calling with KJ from the SB very often. I think this is a set a huge amount of the time. I usually get this figured out, then get stacked anyways. Leak imo.

This. At 100NL, people always have what they are repping. And the flat flop, raise turn line is a monster like always.

02-02-2009 , 10:20 AM

Da GOAT

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 543

im way more inclined to beleive a turn raise than a flop raise from this opp. gotta fold.

02-02-2009 , 10:21 AM

JimmyVulmer

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 2,501

KJs might be in his range. But mostly this is a set. In this case I think it's more like KJ because he would've raised the set on flop due to the two tone board + the pot was small. Fold.

02-02-2009 , 12:03 PM

rock-steady

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 601

c/c flop c/r turn vs tagfish is prob the strongest stackadonk line he can take and never a bluff in my experience esp not at 100nl, i fold

02-02-2009 , 12:54 PM

#10

Thrahl

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 3,763

The fact that we have the A

removes a lot of FDs from his range.

Results from http:\\www.HoldEmRanger.com
616 evaluations, 14 hole card combos

Board: 3h Kh 7s Jc

Wins Ties Equity
20.62% 0.00% 20.62% ( AhAs )
79.38% 0.00% 79.38% ( QhTh,KJs,JhTh,JhQh,77,33,JJ )

02-02-2009 , 01:31 PM

#11

mburke05

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 11,928

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thrahl

The fact that we have the A

yep.

therefore ees a fold imo.

02-02-2009 , 01:32 PM

#12

weeee7

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 423

I agree, fold.

...