Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
** First Post.. 1/3 Live Hand analysis of Spot I had today. ** ** First Post.. 1/3 Live Hand analysis of Spot I had today. **

11-12-2015 , 09:13 AM
Alright well as stated this is officially my first post on the 2+2 threat. After ghosting for awhile anonymously I have finally taken the step to sign up and post. Grind 1/3 & 2/5 Live for a large portion of my income for awhile now.


Anyways.

Villain opens 16 UTG . 5 Middle POS callers.
Hero flats the Button w/ K2s

Flop As 10d 8s

Villain Cbets 40$ into 80$ pot
UTG +1 Flats 40$
Fold. Fold. Fold. Fold.

Hero Raises to 150$

Villain tank calls 142$ all in w/ AK

UTG+1 Folds.

Turn blank River blank.


I was trying to represent 10 8 or A 8 on the button calling in position with 5 calls. He did tank for quite awhile and I thought I had a lot of fold equity. Thinking he could fire a Cbet with any big pairs that he opened with and that he could even fold A10 AJ and maybe even AQ or AK. That and that I knew UTG +1 was light flatting the 40$ flop Cbet with A rag. I really did not think he could have had AA and has AK rather often but If he would C bet any KK's or Less. Axs A10 AJ AQ even AK. Is there enough fold equity to justify putting the pressure on in pos with the nut flush draw here?. It's the only hand I really had any 2nd thoughts on for the session and it did not turn out to be profitable but that def doesn't mean its not +EV obv. Trying to figure out if the fold equity give me the edge with my 36% odds of winning the hand if called down or if the correct play would have been flatting 40$ seeing the turn in POS and reevaluating?.

Im not sure if this is the correct format I should be using by any means so be easy on me ladies and gentleman this is my official first post on 2+2.
I take my game very seriously have had some good success so far and always working on taking my game to the next level.

Appreciate all and any input and feedback.

Thank you!.

- HeroCall
11-12-2015 , 11:48 AM
Welcome mate!

Quote:
Originally Posted by HeroCallPKR
I really did not think he could have had AA and has AK rather often
Don't know why you don't think he could have AA here... UTG preflop raise and C-bet on this flop may very well be just that. V definitely should have a strong hand here betting into this many players, I would range him as strong as AA, TT, AK and would assume that he is not laying any of those hands down to our raise.

I will just call here almost always (only raise with some very strong reads on the bettor and caller), getting a great price and drawing to the nuts!! This way we give the opposition the chance to make mistakes if we hit our draw (especially the caller who may have an inferior draw)....
11-12-2015 , 12:04 PM
Just thinking he opens UTG and A flop he was not the guy to just check ftb and not cbet w/ other big pairs JJ-KK. I usually do flat here but given UTG +1 was def not calling a squeeze behind and thinking that Villain could very possibly even fold AQ and obv give up here with anything else he cbets other than AA and probably AK which he tanked on and almost let go.. Betting 150$ into a 160$ pot in pos w/ 36% and thinking I had a legit 50%+ chance that he folds alot of his CBet range. Was thinking that it might make it more +EV
11-12-2015 , 12:05 PM
Appreciate the input
11-12-2015 , 12:19 PM
Don't know how they play at this specific game but I would think is that a UTG C-bet into 6 players is crazy strong. He wouldn't C-bet hand like JJ~KK here right? I would assume my fold equity is close to 0%
11-12-2015 , 04:01 PM
Assuming the villain isn't a total fish, his opening range is going to be pretty strong from UTG and include AA, AK, and 10's. When he cbets into that many people i would expect that we have hit this part of his range and most live players at these stakes aren't going to lay down any of the above.

I would have just called the flop and re-evaluated the turn. We have utg+1 pricing in our nut draw and we are in position.
11-12-2015 , 04:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TyWilla
Assuming the villain isn't a total fish, his opening range is going to be pretty strong from UTG and include AA, AK, and 10's. When he cbets into that many people i would expect that we have hit this part of his range and most live players at these stakes aren't going to lay down any of the above.

I would have just called the flop and re-evaluated the turn. We have utg+1 pricing in our nut draw and we are in position.
You said exactly what I already said in 1 st reply.....


Sent from my GT-I9515 using 2+2 Forums

      
m