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Emmy Rossum Presents: Oliver's Spots of the Day, 4/26/11 Emmy Rossum Presents: Oliver's Spots of the Day, 4/26/11

04-27-2011 , 12:46 AM


I think these spots are pretty standard, but whatev, can't hurt to get a second look.

HAND 1

Villain is 58/41/1 over 80 hands. 17% 3 bet. 73% fold to cbet, 0 raise cbet.

    IPoker, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #9167732

    BTN: $96.36 (96.4 bb)
    SB: $104 (104 bb)
    BB: $132.60 (132.6 bb)
    UTG: $139.75 (139.8 bb)
    Hero (MP): $100 (100 bb)
    CO: $115.05 (115.1 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with K J
    UTG folds, Hero raises to $3, CO folds, BTN calls $3, 2 folds

    Flop: ($7.50) T A J (2 players)
    Hero bets $5.62, BTN calls $5.62

    Turn: ($18.74) Q (2 players)
    Hero bets $14.05, BTN raises to $36, Hero ?

    If you call, river plan?




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    HAND 2

    Villain is 30/10/2 over 530 hands. 5% 3 bet.
    Limper. Once called Allin 3 way with TT.

      IPoker, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #9167742

      BB: $68.29 (68.3 bb)
      UTG: $137.57 (137.6 bb)
      MP: $99.50 (99.5 bb)
      Hero (CO): $105 (105 bb)
      BTN: $106.75 (106.8 bb)
      SB: $145.82 (145.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with T T
      UTG raises to $3.50, MP calls $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, BTN folds, SB calls $3, BB raises to $68.29 and is all-in, 2 folds, Hero?



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      Think we see AQ,99 here?


      Last edited by Oliver Klozoff; 04-27-2011 at 12:56 AM.
      04-27-2011 , 01:32 AM
      Bet/fold river in hand 1 obviously, hand 2 jam.
      04-27-2011 , 01:57 AM
      1. call turn, call non-diamond rivers and bet/fold if checked to.
      2. call, too much dead money to fold.
      04-27-2011 , 08:10 AM
      Hand 2- seems like b/e to call unless I have his range far too tight. What range are we putting him on?
      04-27-2011 , 08:25 AM
      Maybe I'm the only person who thinks about actually folding hand 1. We're calling for a chop and hoping that we don't face further heat/another diamond on river. I'd expect a guy playing 58/41 to have me beat often enough when he raises here, plus his money is dead in the long run anyway. Going to have much better spots against him.

      Hand 2 I think is pretty close between fold and call. In game I probably make the call but I think a fold is slightly better.
      04-27-2011 , 10:23 AM
      Bring Minka Kelly back.

      H1 - Call and call all non diamonds rivers. Not happy but I think after put 20 bbs against this aggro donk we cant fold.

      H2 - Meh, fold. In this is spot is interesting to know if villain cares about positions. Some guys just have a static range for any action. Probably its close with the dead money.
      04-27-2011 , 10:42 AM
      fold 1, hes either freerolling or ur already ****ed

      jam 2
      04-27-2011 , 10:56 AM
      I'm folding hand 1 against this guy. He's too passive post to believe he is ever doing this with less than a chop.

      Hand 2: I'm calling, it's close and he obviously isn't good with stats like that so there is some spaz factor. The limper note might make me think we can disregard AA-KK some because he would of limp RR.
      04-27-2011 , 10:58 AM
      Agree with fold 1, call 2.
      04-27-2011 , 12:10 PM
      I fold hand1 :-\

      Hand2 - don't we lose too much if we are wrong here? Or have i done the math wrong?..

      EV=our equity * what we win - Villains equity * what we lose
      What we win: $68.29+$3.5+$3.5+$3.5+$3.5=$82.29
      What we lose: $64.79

      QQ+/AK [.364 * 82.29 - .636 * 64.79] = -$11.25
      JJ+/AK [.337 * 82.29 - .663 * 64.79] = -$15.22
      TT+/AK [.341 * 82.29 - .659 * 64.79] = $14.60
      99+/AK [.402 * 82.29 - .598 * 64.79] = -$5.66
      99+/AQ+ [.442 * 82.29 - .557 * 64.79] = $.28
      04-27-2011 , 12:20 PM
      fold 1 call 2
      04-27-2011 , 01:19 PM
      fold hand 1

      really surprised people are saying call hand 2, I think it's a snap fold...
      04-27-2011 , 02:27 PM
      can we call hand 1 and c/f river? how often will this type of villain fire river again with a K?

      to the people saying call hand 2, what is the main reason? is it because of the note he limped TT and was ok with going allin pf? I think w/o that note hand 2 is a snapfold
      04-27-2011 , 03:01 PM
      fold hand 1
      hand 2 - have you seen him squeeze before?
      04-27-2011 , 03:42 PM
      Quote:
      Originally Posted by chytry
      hand 2 - have you seen him squeeze before?
      possibly, but no notes he's a wide squeezer or anything crazy that stands out.
      04-27-2011 , 08:36 PM
      ***********THREAD BOYCOTTED BECAUSE THIS GIRL IS GROSS*************
      04-27-2011 , 08:41 PM
      Quote:
      Originally Posted by trial0r
      ***********THREAD BOYCOTTED BECAUSE THIS GIRL IS GROSS*************
      j/k

      h1: calling turn and calling non-diamond rivers. (this might be bad btw).

      h2: i'm jamming here. lots of dead money and villain is short.
      04-27-2011 , 10:21 PM
      hand 1 i think i fold if he hasn't shown down a lot of random idiot aggression. one thing good players forget is how many flush combos fish have as a % of their range and how this raise is usually exactly a flush if not air.

      hand 2 is a snapfold. way too much stuff has you boned and this kind of player usually doesn't jam AK or 88 or something here.
      04-28-2011 , 02:30 AM
      i'm a nit but i think both are rather easy folds?
      04-28-2011 , 03:27 AM
      I think villian has exactly AK in hand 2 and I would call.
      04-28-2011 , 03:35 AM
      I think both are folds

      H1 you're toast a lot of the time already

      H2 the guy is loose passive, although fish do play AK/AQ like this a lot
      04-28-2011 , 11:32 AM
      dont forget rake in calculations for hand 2 i guess :S i think calling cant be too bad although its probably break even and probably overall slightly -ev with information given.. probably needless to say but calling ako jj (although some people itt sound like they'd "closely" fold jj too

            
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