Full Ring on Rush.

Villain and I have a little history. He's capable of firing multiple barrels w/air but he doesn't get out of line that often. Had him running 24/20 over 400ish hands.

Effective stacks $250

UTG+2 Raises to $6
Hero calls from BB w/ AQ

Flop: 8h As Jc (Pot $13)

UTG+2 bets $10
Hero calls $10

Turn: 8h As Jc 9c (Pot $33)

UTG+2 bets $24
Hero calls $24

River: 8h As Jc 9c Ah (Pot $81)

UTG+2 bets $70
Hero ???

Is turn a fold? I really don't think I should be raising at any point in the hand vs this op. As played I think river is a fold because my hand looks pretty much exactly like it is. Any help appreciated

Just call river.

You're near the top of your range and pretty much every draw missed->call. Not really that close imo considering villain isn't that nitty.

i fold here. his bet is targeting your hand for max value. not that many bluffs in his range. can certainly be nutted all around.. QTs, 99, 88, jj, AJ, a9s, AK etc

if u call here what the heck are u expecting him to turn over? KQcc? KTcc? that's 2 combos


especially full ring his range is weighted towards pocket pairs and AK which has u beat here.. he is rarely ever going to db the turn. it hits your range, etc,
l
fold

i think he has weaker Ax , so:
1.3bet pre
2.just call river. Dont make tough move like push or fold. imo

3Bet pre? How about no? This is UTG opening.

River is closer to a fold because it would be a very silly spot to bluff and pretty much the only Ace you're hoping to see here is AT and I personally don't think AT is betting so big on the river.

lol nah ... ur so boned here imo
you look exactly like an Ace which rivered trips. his bluffing so rarely and not betting so big with AT or A7

I would raise the flop. A weak A will fold AJ will call AK will call or raise JJ will call. After that i would check/ fold the turn and river.

results?

We only have to be good 30% of the time for a call to be neutral EV. You seriously don't think he's bluffing or value-betting worse enough? He has to have a better hand over 70% of the time which I don't think is a reasonable assumption/judgement to make.

I don't think he is betting worse for value with a bet that size, I also don't think someone will try and bluff someone off trip Aces here much at all