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AA on dry board AA on dry board

08-03-2008 , 06:48 PM
Party Poker $50 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $68.94
BTN: $51.30
SB: $54.28
BB: $51.18
Hero (UTG): $50.00

Pre Flop: Hero is UTG with A A
Hero raises to $2, 1 fold, BTN calls $2, 2 folds

Flop: ($4.75) K 7 J (2 players)
Hero bets $3, BTN calls $3

Turn: ($10.75) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $8, BTN calls $8

River: ($26.75) 6 (2 players)


Villain is pretty fishy 35/12 and calls to much wts:34

Betting river seems standard in my opinion. But do i fold to a raise?
08-03-2008 , 06:55 PM
b/f definitely
08-03-2008 , 06:59 PM
but if i bet 15 bucks i get 1:3.5 to call a shove. Need to be good only 22%.
08-03-2008 , 08:03 PM
I'd shove here, there's so many kings in his range for him to call with.
08-03-2008 , 08:43 PM
I'd have bet a little more on flop and turn so I could shove river. As played I'd just b/c $19 or overshove.
08-03-2008 , 09:21 PM
Even if we are getting a very good price to call off the last we have to evaluate if a pair of aces really are good against a range that is calling three streets and then shoving in the last when we bet the river.
08-03-2008 , 09:41 PM
I cant see him shoving anything worse to a river bet but at the same time you are good here like always so i think im getting it in.

I dont think hes ever bluffing this riv so i dont see the point in making a smaller bet and then calling a river shove, your better off just shoving yourself and letting him pay max with his kings
08-04-2008 , 12:48 AM
Check/Call. Seems like you don't have a big sample size on this guy. What was his AF? I say this because... if he was somewhat aggressive, he may have raised with a K on the flop? I'd check this river and hope to catch a bluff from AQ/TQ, or some kind of fishy value bet from AJ. With such a small sample size, there's no guarentee he will pay with a hand like AJ or a bare K with a mediocre kicker.
08-04-2008 , 01:42 AM
"Dry board" does not mean what you think it means.

Just ship the river, and bet more on previous streets so it's not an overbet when you get there.

      
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