BTN - tight. Didn't play a hand in 40 hands so I put him on something strong, SB is a fish. Fold preflop yada yada I was bored.

Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked

SB: $133.25
Hero (BB): $114.50
UTG: $153.75
MP: $91.30
CO: $117.95
BTN: $173.60

Pre Flop: Hero is BB with 7 A
3 folds, BTN raises to $4, SB calls $3.50, Hero calls $3

Flop: ($12.00) 6 8 5 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8, BTN raises to $24, SB folds, Hero raises to $54

So is he folding that overpair ? (We got ~40% equity against his flop raising range)

i dont think hes folding here. tight players dont wait for aces to fold them on a 8 high flop. thats why its easy to own them with small pairs when we hit sets.

Why bet the flop here? You are drawing with most likely one other person in the pot, so you want to draw cheaply.

just fold the flop...

Played a bit with numbers and shoving is neutral EV if he calls 100% of the time (put his range on 88+) so I guess it's worth a shot.

assume 10 outs (8 oesd, 2 partial ace outs)
assume 0 FE we're 40% to make our hand, 60% to lose
.40 (130)- .60(102)=52-61.2=$-9.2

so with no FE this doesn't seem like a great push, that said its pretty extreme to assume so. Whats the minimum amount of FE that we need for this push to make sense........

x=the number of times out of 100 villain folds preflop
y=the number of times out of 100 villain calls preflop

x+y=100
$44x + .4y (130)- .6y(102)=0
solve for x
44x+ 0.4(100-x)(130)-0.6(100-x)(102)=0
44x+(40 -0.4x)(130) - ( (60-0.6x)(102))=0
44x+5200 - 52x - 6120 +61.2x=0
53x=920
x=17

so you need 17% FE against his flop raising range to make this shove work.

Villains, especially bad villains don't fold overpairs here. You even said that he hasn't played any of 40 hands so do u expect him to give up when you actually have something?

When villain c/r the flop, just fold it. 3 bet is just bad imo unless you're willing to get it in badly.

Giving him a flop raising range of 55+, 55,66,77,88,99,TT,JJ,QQ,KK,AA
Do you think we have a 17% FE there?

Villain was tight, didn't know if he was the type to see monsters etc. My guess is that it's close.

Personally given action I'm usually folding my overpairs unless I have a read, but oh well - some EV bucks down drain, probably deserved that flaming.