Have about 250 hands on villain, no real big pots between us yet. He's folded every single time he's been 3-bet at the table (5 times) and i haven't 3bet him once. He's opening about 35% in the SB.

The only hands we played so far really were single raised; him in the BB me on the button pots. One hand i cbet J8dd on K72r, chk chk 9x, Jx chk chk and he had KT he didn't vbet with. We also played a hand where i opened BU with KTo he called. flop was 8cQc3x chk chk turn Kc he led, i called, river Qx and he gave up with Ax7c

I 3bet this pre cause i think he's gonna fold enough and it's too weak to flat. I don't do this everytime but just thought this was a good time since I hadn't 3bet him pre and he's folded a ton. He calls unfortunately.

Flop is really standard; I bet the turn expecting to get c/r a decent amount so i call; river is really tough here.

I don't think he's outright bluffing since he actually tanked down to 2 seconds left on his timebank before betting. I think he has a good hand he's valuebetting but not a flush. Question is what thin valuebets can i beat. Do randoms play AA like this? 78s he may or may not call pre with. I lose to 9T and sets, i can beat stuff turned into bluff. Flip a coin i guess, what do you think?

FWIW before the exploitable argument comes up if we're thinking about folding, i would definitely show up with flushes here that i would chk back flop with given the texture and it hits a tight 3bet flatter's range pretty hard

so you expect to get check raised on the turn, and are cool with that, but you expect him to just check fold on the river after check raising turn?

i mean its just a standard snap dude, people try to make you fold a capped ranged here, hes been getting abused by 3bets pre so can be annoyed/spewy, has plenty of worse for value, KJ+ etc.

double edit: your 144bb eff but he's not even jamming the river so really this is just a 100bb hand pretty much given sizings. calllllllll

they don't always follow through on the river ya know ;p

Bet turn bigger, like $32.

On the river you're at the top of your range, so you call. If you fold J3 here you fold way too much.

raising is too thin, folding wouldn't cross my mind so that leaves calling I guess