villain is tag reg -1ptbb loser over 100k+ sample he was playing 22/17/6 with AF 5


Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (SB): $397.75
BB: $529.20
UTG: $200.00
CO: $92.40
BTN: $184.65

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is SB with A 9
3 folds, Hero raises to $8, BB calls $6

Flop: ($16.00) K 9 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $10, BB calls $10

Turn: ($36.00) A (2 players)
Hero bets $28, BB raises to $72.50

Thoughts?

I think his sizing is horrid, but im not sure if that makes it more likely to be value or bluff.

Anyway, I call, and call rivers that arent diamonds.

-His sizing sucks for value, there is simply no way to get stacks in if he has something like JT/QJ/QTdd. Maybe this is more appropraite for small diamonds, but im not convinced.

-The ace is a card you could be value betting thinly w/ AQ/value w/ 2p hands, but can also use it to bluff a lot. He might think you cant bet w/ AJ/AQ here and further polarizes your range.

-Even having AK here it sucks to get raised.

-Hes stupid aggro, and this looks like a good spot for a bluff raise if there ever was one.

I would probably call the turn and a safe river as well.

I mean if he really was stupid aggro isn't he semi-bluffing his FD's on the flop?

what's villian like bvb? i've noticed a lot of people tend to 3b pretty light bvb. since he didn't and just called bvb, i'm inclined to think he has something like QT/JT/QJdd or smaller connected diamonds and was looking to flop something pretty against you deep.

that being said, the sizing is pretty small and i'd peel hoping for a non diamond river and c/c and let the guy bluff off more if he really was bluffing.

He either has a flush or trying to represent one. With his AF I find it hard to fold on turn. However, it can't be a very +ev move to continue. Folding would be close I think