can i c/c the turn and c/f any river that doesnt improve my hand here?

the sb and bb in this hand are both fish.

the co is not a fish, but not great either. he's on the passive side
19/15/1.5 (2k hands)
his bet vs missed cbet is only 50

i think this guy is going to have a set very frequently here

even a psb on the turn seems to leave enough behind, assuming that he's never folding a set to a river jam.

SB: $108.00
BB: $445.65
Hero (UTG): $215.70
MP: $555.15
CO: $200.00
BTN: $118.75

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is UTG with 7 7
Hero raises to $6, 1 fold, CO calls $6, 1 fold, SB calls $5, BB calls $4

Flop: ($24.00) 3 9 5 (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $16, CO calls $16, SB folds, BB folds

Turn: ($56.00) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $40

how often is this guy folding to cbets on the flop? 19/15 is pretty tight over 2k hands. i'm not sure if he calls on the btn vs an utg raise with something like J9/T9/89, so i'm inclined to think that he has a set or some sort of pp. 66 that hit gin on the turn, 88, TT, JJ? since there are two people left to act after you bet, i'm also inclined to weigh his range more towards the sets. unless those fish are very fit/fold and have like 85% fold to cbet, i'd say villian has to have at least TP and not something like AdJd. why do you say that he doesn't have a set often here?

ahdoi?

question was:

hah. i misread that. sorry.

knowing this i think it's pretty likely you get stacks in if you hit gin. what 7's are in your range except for exactly 77 that you're raising utg? (unless you're also raising 97s, 87s, 67s utg, i'm not sure what your numbers are)