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[200NL] Overpair in a ****ty spot! [200NL] Overpair in a ****ty spot!

01-15-2014 , 12:16 AM
BTN: $219.04 (109.5 bb)
SB: $648.79 (324.4 bb)
Hero (BB): $206 (103 bb)
UTG: $1,134.90 (567.5 bb)
MP: $238.55 (119.3 bb)
CO: $205 (102.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q Q
2 folds, CO raises to $5, 2 folds, Hero raises to $20, CO calls $15

Flop: ($41) 6 9 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $22, CO calls $22

Turn: ($85) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $48, CO calls $48

River: ($181) T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $115 and is all-in, Hero?

Zoom game on Stars.

Reads: Villain is 24/17 with 13% call 3bet, and 70% fold to 3bet. I had a note on him saying 'Flats open with AKo in MP then raises Q38cc board. Gives up after'

What kind of stats are you looking for here when deciding if a call should be made or not?
01-15-2014 , 01:08 AM
F3B
01-15-2014 , 02:04 AM
fold,i would call with the Qc..just to block some flushes/straight...if hes good his turning everything in to a bluff here,prob c/shove turn isnt bed since we might do it with f/d as well sometimes
01-15-2014 , 03:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAI PEN RAI
fold,i would call with the Qc..just to block some flushes/straight...if hes good his turning everything in to a bluff here,prob c/shove turn isnt bed since we might do it with f/d as well sometimes
Agree with C/shove turn helps you balance your bluffs w/ value like ^ said u can mix in ur FD's to get him to fold any potential floats villian has or get him to call w/ worse draws. That being said im not sure how much this specific villian is calling w/ those hands. As played its a fold imo, such a sick good riv for villian tho.

I might also c/c the flop in some spots because for one - it hits his 3b calling range well with all his PP - and when it doesnt and we bet its a good spot for him to raise us or float and turn hands into bluffs by riv because of hw wet the board is. I hope that makes sense.
01-15-2014 , 10:14 AM
if you think of anything but folding this river then there's really smthin wrong with the ranges you're using.
01-15-2014 , 10:39 AM
Fairly standard c/f

x/shove turn looks appealing, both for "protection" and balance (since we c/f a lot)

Depends on his floating tendencies and bet vs missed, really.

      
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