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200 Rush: AQ gets back raised by SB flat with no reads 200 Rush: AQ gets back raised by SB flat with no reads

04-06-2010 , 06:31 AM
I have no real reads on this player. He has baseline taggish stats over a small sample with nothing too distinct to note.

Is this a case where I'm just taking a flip with overlay? I think AQ is close to AK here just because AK only has better equity vs monsters he is flatting from the SB (QQ/AK).

I'm sure he could flat AA and *maybe* KK but I really don't think he's flatting AK/QQ. If that makes sense.

Full Tilt Poker $200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 626728
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $541.20
Hero (BB): $236.90
UTG: $202.00
MP: $355.95
CO: $574.80
BTN: $370.70

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BB with A Q
2 folds, CO raises to $5, 1 fold, SB calls $4, Hero raises to $25, 1 fold, SB raises to $58
04-06-2010 , 07:28 AM
I'd ship it
04-06-2010 , 08:14 AM
Fold. After he re-raises u he has a pp 10+ or just re-raising u with suited crap because of positional advantage. But Shipping is NO good unless u have info on him. Never calling. Just hating to lose the 25. bye bye money.
04-06-2010 , 09:03 AM
Well if you'd give him a range off AA,KK, JJ, TT, AQ, QJs, JTs and assume he'll call our 5b always, a shove is ~break even.
I don't think he'll flat call QQ and then come over the top like ever.
We should also distract a number off AA,KK combo's that he will 3b himself.

If we take into account that CO and villain are both 270bb deep, I don't see villain flatcalling AA or KK preflop, making it an easy ship.
04-06-2010 , 11:23 AM
How he views you and what's your 3bet stats on that table?
04-06-2010 , 11:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JoMetDeBanjo
Well if you'd give him a range off AA,KK, JJ, TT, AQ, QJs, JTs and assume he'll call our 5b always, a shove is ~break even.
I don't think he'll flat call QQ and then come over the top like ever.
We should also distract a number off AA,KK combo's that he will 3b himself.

If we take into account that CO and villain are both 270bb deep, I don't see villain flatcalling AA or KK preflop, making it an easy ship.
Excellent point. I was gonna ship it in anyway but this makes it 100%. That deep he should be opening his value 3 betting range so I assume you will see a ton of crap here.
04-06-2010 , 11:38 AM
This is a ship 100% of time.
04-06-2010 , 12:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kobe0826
Fold. After he re-raises u he has a pp 10+ or just re-raising u with suited crap because of positional advantage. But Shipping is NO good unless u have info on him. Never calling. Just hating to lose the 25. bye bye money.
you know that we have position on him?

I am not fan of shipping it in PF w/o reads with AQo , and just cause its a rush and hes taggish I would fold and take a note for the next time...

      
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