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100NL: Raise on the Turn by WinchRounder... Call or Fold here? 100NL: Raise on the Turn by WinchRounder... Call or Fold here?

07-03-2008 , 12:31 AM
Villain is WinchRounder who is a 100NL Reg and has been running at 22/21/13 over 285 hands. whats with the AF? weird.

Anyway, not sure about the turn play here. I like betting the flop and the turn, but do I have to fold here, especially playing the river OOP? I feel this is a spot that a lot of good players do, especially IP bc it forces your opponent to fold anything but the nuts.


Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BB: $101.55
CO: $134.25
BTN: $116.00
Hero (SB): $179.95

Pre Flop: Hero is SB with J A
1 fold, BTN calls $1, Hero calls $0.50, BB checks

Flop: ($3.00) A 7 T (3 players)
Hero bets $3, BB calls $3, BTN folds

Turn: ($9.00) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $5, BB raises to $17.50, Hero ???????
07-03-2008 , 01:29 AM
Why didn't you raise PF?

I would have bet about ~7 on the turn. As played, I would fold OOP against a solid reg.
07-03-2008 , 01:33 AM
probably fold. Your turn bet looks somewhat weak though, which might make him more likely to bluff. You are going to be in too crappy of a spot OOP on the river to call this turn though.

Also, depending on the BTN I would usually raise this preflop, to isolate the BTN who is likely a fish if he is openlimping and force the good player out of the pot.
07-03-2008 , 05:39 AM
Wow, I have Winchrounder as a lot nittier over a slightly larger sample (540hands).

Anyways, raise PF, ez fold on turn imo. He is never raising a worse flush draw for value, and unless he completely floats terrible flops to float, he is never there on the turn w/ a worse made hand that he is turning into a bluff.

      
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