200 hands
sb is 18/7/1
with a wtsd of 60

i was going to go for a cr after the sb presumably was going to c/c the flop, and i'd trap some dead money, but the flop checks through.

can i raise fold this river?

i feel like flatting river is bad since someone w/ a wtsd of 60 is certainly getting more money in with a naked 4 or another flush.

SB: $103.50
Hero (BB): $171.75
UTG: $99.20
MP: $128.35
CO: $102.50
BTN: $59.50

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with A Q
UTG calls $1, MP raises to $4, 2 folds, SB calls $3.50, Hero calls $3, 1 fold

Flop: ($13.00) 3 8 4 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP checks

Turn: ($13.00) 4 (3 players)
SB bets $6, Hero calls $6, MP folds

River: ($25.00) J (2 players)
SB bets $12

absolutely raising this river. As for folding if he comes over the top.. ehhh really depends on sizing.. it would be tough for me to lay this down. Then again I can't see trips wanting to bet 3bet this river ...

raise/fold for sure. This guy looks like a nit donk and he's never ever coming over the top with worse imo.

but not raising is a crime

if i raise to 35, and he shoves....

it would be 58 for me to call to win 153 (roughly)

there isnt a 27% chance he's shoving a worse flush here?

With those stats i raise/fold, i really dont think hes shoving with a lesser flush there 27 percent of the time... hes going to call with a smaller flush and only reraise a boat there