Quote:
Originally Posted by Franchise804
See my above posts...if villain never 4bet bluff, we wouldn't be able to ship these hands for value.
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I'm trying to work out the math behind this. Is this line of reasoning right?
Against villian's range {66-KK} hero's range of {A4s-A5s} has about 35% pot equity (Ace + straight + flush)
Against villian's dominated ace range {A10-Ak} hero's range of {A4s-A5s} has about 28% pot equity {live card + straight + flush}
Against villian's bluffing range atc we have roughly 60% pot equity.
Combining these we get around 30-40% (approx) for A4s-A5s against villians bluff and value 4b range.
We need villian 10-20% fold equity to make the play profitable. So villian has to have a 4bet bluffing + value folds totaling at least 10-20%?
Is my reasoning and math right?