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100nl monsterdraw vs weak fish 100nl monsterdraw vs weak fish

03-05-2011 , 08:16 AM
    On Game, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #8092732

    SB: $155.35 (155.4 bb)
    BB: $128 (128 bb)
    CO: $100 (100 bb)
    Hero (BTN): $106.35 (106.4 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with 8 7
    CO folds, Hero raises to $3, SB calls $2.50, BB folds

    Flop: ($7) 6 9 2 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $5.50, SB raises to $11, Hero calls $5.50

    Turn: ($29) 3 (2 players)
    SB bets $30, Hero folds

    Spoiler:
    Results: $59 pot ($1.45 rake)
    Final Board: 6 9 2 3
    SB mucked and won $57.55 ($13.55 net)
    Hero mucked 8 7 and lost (-$14 net)



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    villain is 46/4 1.1agf weak fish w/ 0 3bet on 50h; 0 c/r or r flop

    flop: assumptions: villain is not bluffraising this flop in a high percentage = not folding much

    not sure if we should 3bet the flop. ingame i thought that it might be pretty bad cause we only get it in vs OP+ and bigger flushdraws. but afterwards i'm not sure if he even c/minr his flushdraws, probably not.
    so against a range of AA/TT/66/22/96s we are flipping. this range is already discounted, but changing the range is not affecting our equity. the question is: getting it in most +ev? ip we got beautiful equity/playability against his strong range and i think we can extract alot more value by "just" calling.

    turn: now 100% sure this type of player not potbetting w/ a draw. this means we have very few reverse implied odds and should definitly call here?! getting 2:1 odds and are about 2,3:1 dog.


    cliffs: 3betting flop?
    03-05-2011 , 08:26 AM
    Call flop, Call turn, Bink, Profit.

    Obv never terrible to get it in on the flop but calling is better.
    03-05-2011 , 08:35 AM
    obv call turn against this villain.. are u kidding me?
    03-05-2011 , 10:43 AM
    Raise the flop! You don't have a made hand yet. If he's got a pair ur like fiddy/fiddy to win. So you raise and don't really mind wether he folds or calls/ships it in.

    He calls and you got tons of outs. He folds and you pick up the pot. You call and you might kill the action on a diamond card especially diamond overcards.

    Get it in and take the flip imo
    03-05-2011 , 01:46 PM
    I think the flop call is good here. You are probably flipping vs villians
    stacking range, but i also think that he wont be c/r folding very often.
    Considering that you get very goods odds and have good implified odds,
    a call should be more profitable.
    The turn fold is very bad imo. You have 13-15 outs you will get paid off a decent amount of the time when you hit your draw on the river.
    03-05-2011 , 02:17 PM
    i don't understand teh flop call here, why not raise flop when you have the equity rather than miss the draw and face a tough decision at turn? flop raise is +EV right? you have 50+ equity if called, and you have fold equity.

    what's the proper amount to raise at flop though?
    03-05-2011 , 02:23 PM
    Sigh call flop is much better than raising in terms of EV against this player, since he is rarely raise folding. Turn is a call and hope to bink, your odds and implied are plenty good enough

          
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