100NL J9s - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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100NL J9s

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12-03-2012 , 05:03 AM

homerunhitter7

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 1,547

Merge, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $96.50 (96.5 bb)
BB: $100 (100 bb)
UTG: $226 (226 bb)
MP: $101.13 (101.1 bb)
CO: $326.84 (326.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $237.21 (237.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with J

2 folds, CO raises to $2, Hero calls $2, 2 folds

Flop: ($5.50) 9

(2 players)
CO bets $2.75, Hero raises to $9.75, CO calls $7

Turn: ($25) J

(2 players)
CO bets $12.50, Hero raises to $49.75, CO calls $37.25

River: ($124.50) K

(2 players)
CO bets $265.34 and is all-in

Villain is 36/13 over 180 hands. 56% cbet, 0/2 fold cbet to raise. Blinds are not squeeze happy, so I choose to see flop IP vs fish. Thoughts on my line and thoughts on the river?

12-03-2012 , 05:09 AM

tobe4funas

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 5,661

I suppose you could fold OTR and not worry too much about it, the rest looks good

12-03-2012 , 05:25 AM

Prasty

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 331

i think your line is fine, good size on turn..
river is sick but i think fold is ok..

12-03-2012 , 06:05 AM

UrMilkshake

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 296

It's hard to put him on a hand other than royal flush though.

12-03-2012 , 07:32 PM

homerunhitter7

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 1,547

I had to at least discount A9/K9 because I would be surprised if these were in his range even if his PFR is not totally accurate over my sample size. So 3 combos AA, 1 combo JJ,1 combo royal flush. He could be going crazy with AxQh, which is 3 combos. So he would have to have 1 more combo I beat for this to be a call right? A couple more if I include any A9/K9.

12-03-2012 , 07:38 PM

mattsim23

newbie

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 45

the stats do look fishy.. whats his agg factor? i dnt think i could find the fold button vs an aggro fish in that spot..

12-04-2012 , 12:38 AM

terp

Carnal \ 'Knowledge

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 14,780

really gross spot, but you just have to click call. if you credit him with every single better hand, you lose to 13 combos. if you exclude KK, you're down to 10.

you're calling 180 to win 300, so you need to win 37.5% of the time. we need six combos of worse than A9 here. if we just give him A Qh and 9 Qh we have six. i don't think this is a fistpump, but given he sounds like a spazzy fish, it's easy for him to have fewer than the 10 logical combos we lose to and well more than six of the ones we beat.

12-04-2012 , 01:19 PM

Rems

journeyman

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 303

^what terp said.
alot of fish will just be too excited and openjam in ur face once their 4th heart peels.

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