Ok so I just had the worst day I've had in a while and I'm on a bit of a slide. I guess it was inevitable to happen eventually...this would be only my second downswing of 8+BI's at 100NL in a bit over 100K hands. Anyway I think I'm about to make several hand posts and some of them might be easy hands and/or played very poorly...but thanks for helping me out right now anyway.


Villian is 58/6.85/.98 over 219 hands and sucks at poker. Has reloaded a few times and the rest of the table is full of TAG's jockeying to play against this guy and trying to get a seat on his left.


One hand I played against him earlier he called my button open with QQ in the BB then check/called the flop and check/raised the turn. He had less than 100BB's....He stacked my KQ on that hand when the case Q came down on the flop.


What's up on the river here? What's the play?



Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: $311.00
MP: $38.20
CO: $102.25
Hero (BTN): $211.00
SB: $190.55
BB: $122.35

Pre Flop: Hero is BTN with A A
3 folds, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, BB calls $3

Flop: ($8.50) 5 3 T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6, BB calls $6

Turn: ($20.50) 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $15, BB calls $15

River: ($50.50) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $37.50, BB raises to $75, Hero

His range is so wide open he could probably have a 3 or a 5 in his hand and by the looks of it he has. I still think he can turn over KK or QQ though so I would call reluctently.

My first reaction is to fold here but maybe it isnt so clear cut. First of all, its just so likely that he has a 3 or a 5. Secondly, it would seem pretty weird and out of character for him to go nuts with a ten here. I guess the whole gray area is if he is capable of doing this with overpairs. Assuming he can show up here with JJ-AA then we are roughly a 2-1 dog. We have to call 37.50 to win 163 so it is a clear call *if* he can show up with overpairs. If we remove those overpairs then its obviously a fold as we then beat nothing.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

54 games 0.238 secs 226 games/sec

Board: 5h 5s 3s 3c Td
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.259% 33.33% 00.93% 18 0.50 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 65.741% 64.81% 00.93% 35 0.50 { AdAh, KK-JJ, TcTh, TcTs, ThTs, Ad5d, 7c5c, 7d5d, 6c5c, 6d5d, 5c4c, 5d4d, 4d3d, 4h3h, Ac5d, Ad5c, Ah5c, Ah5d, As5c, As5d, Ad3h, Ah3d, 6c5d, 6d5c, 6h5c, 6h5d, 6s5c, 6s5d, 5c4d, 5c4h, 5c4s, 5d4c, 5d4h, 5d4s, 4c3d, 4c3h, 4d3h, 4h3d, 4s3d, 4s3h }


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If thoses figures are right its a call then, ive seen this line taken by fish so many times with Kings or Aces and also it could be said he might fold a 5 on the turn.

I dont think he folds a 5 on the turn. He is very loose and there is no reason the 3 pairing should scare him.

when a players playing 58/6 its hard to be precise with ranges, im sure its worth considering the fact he might think 'hmmm this low pair is no good' on the turn especially if he is on a winning streak