Villain is a solid tag, doesn't really get of line. Plays 22/16, 6% 3bet, fold to 3bet 50%. Fold flop cbet 50%, fold turn cbet 50%.

I'm 21/18 8% 3bet, 50% cbet. I was trying to pound on him by 3betting him in position. There were 4 previous times that I had 3bet him. He folded twice. One time he was UTG (we were 200bb deep) and flat called my 3b with KK. Another time he called 3b and c/f fold Ahi flop. Out of 300 hands, he has 4bet 1 time. I suspect that he prefers to flat call 3bets as opposed to 4bet, even with his super premiums. Hopefully I'm not extrapolating too much from 1 data point (KK hand).




Given information provided, what is the best line? Checking sucks because it feels like half the deck will lead to ugly turns. Betting feels thin because he should have a bunch of 2pair combos in his range, some sets if he decides to slowplay his big pairs, as well as some nutted combo draws. Does this guy even have much of a c/c range on this flop? The only hand that I can think of that I'm getting value from is KQ, KJ.

Board: Ad Qd Js
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.197% 24.08% 10.12% 7627 3206.50 { AsKs }
Hand 1: 65.803% 55.68% 10.12% 17640 3206.50 { AA, QQ-JJ, AJs+, KdQd, KdJd, KTs, Kd9d, Td9d, Td8d, AJo+ }

Take out the sets:

Board: Ad Qd Js
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 38.814% 26.02% 12.79% 6441 3165.50 { AsKs }
Hand 1: 61.186% 48.40% 12.79% 11978 3165.50 { AJs+, KdQd, KdJd, KTs, Kd9d, Td9d, Td8d, AJo+ }

Either way, we need like ~40% equity to stack off. If we're supposed to b/f, and I suspect this guy doesn't have a very big c/c range.... should I even be betting?

i find the fold button pretty quickly here.

Given stack depth I think he can speculate with random suited stuff and can c/c the flop with a pair and gutter as well. I'd put Axs in his range too. So I see value in a bet even though the flop smacks him in the face. Snap fold to the raise obv.

The flop smacks our range and so I dont think he'll be trying to bluff you too often.

Pretty easy bet for value from a widish range that he'll be calling with pre at these stack depths, but once he raises you can happily muck it