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[100NL] 2pair on ugly board, get it in OTT? [100NL] 2pair on ugly board, get it in OTT?

01-28-2012 , 01:40 PM
$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
HoldemManager
3 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (BTN) ($204)
SB ($116)
BB ($100)

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 3 players) Hero is BTN 9 3
Hero raises to $2, SB folds, BB calls $1

Flop: 7 9 3 ($4.50, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3.75, BB calls $3.75

Turn: 8 ($12, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $9.70, BB raises to $26, $16.3 to Hero ($188.55)?

BB 19/11/62% fold to cbet, 35% agg freq on the turn, c/r turn 29%, 0% raise cbet, 6% 3bet from BB vs Steal
400 hands

Notes:
- BB 3b/shove 99 3-handed table

turn is no the best card in the deck, i'm really uncertain about the amount of JT combos that i should put in his range. he folds 62% to cbets untill now so does he call here with gutshots & overs? doesn't he raise JTdd sometimes? he could have 88 but my notes say that he 3bets 99 from the BB so maybe 88 should be at least discounted. i'm really lost on the flop but i felt getting it in was kinda bad when he's never raising worse for value and really rarely bluffing.
01-28-2012 , 01:52 PM
ima go ahead and fold the turn mainly because i'll be guessing on more than half of the rivers and I don't like 3betting the turn for value. I think this board hits his range really hard, but a ton of river cards will kill our hand, and often make his hand the best hand.
01-28-2012 , 05:54 PM
What is his CR flop %? 0%? 29% turn CR is stupidly high so if those stats are right he is doing some funky stuff with pairs/draws that gain equity on the turn. I'd be very suspicious of this. I usually fold this without an issue, but i dont know this time based on those CR stats.
01-29-2012 , 05:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FocusIT
What is his CR flop %? 0%? 29% turn CR is stupidly high so if those stats are right he is doing some funky stuff with pairs/draws that gain equity on the turn. I'd be very suspicious of this. I usually fold this without an issue, but i dont know this time based on those CR stats.
You are not interpreting the stats very well
01-30-2012 , 08:35 AM
turn is clearly a fold

      
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