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100 NL 6max - how good / bad is this shove? 100 NL 6max - how good / bad is this shove?

01-31-2010 , 02:59 PM
$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Lordtaikon ($64.50)
UTG+1 Hero ($98.50)
CO Raging_Bear ($99.50)
BTN WinnetouAny2 ($121.24)
SB javilee ($21)
BB OceansDrive ($90.53)

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1 7 8
1 fold, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, WinnetouAny2 calls $4, 2 folds

Flop: 4 5 2 ($9.50, 2 players)
Hero bets $7, WinnetouAny2 raises to $20, [color="#cc0000"][b]Hero goes all-in


New to table and new to site (Microgaming) so no reads. Villians was from eastean Europe.
Merits for calling and playing turn or do I shove?
If I know I have hardly any fold equity does this still make it a shove?
01-31-2010 , 03:02 PM
I like a shove given your strong perceived range and nice equity.
01-31-2010 , 04:11 PM
Without reads (that V can raise this flop with overpairs and FDs) I'd just call the flop raise due to pot odds and c/f turn unimproved as sets are by far the biggest part of Vs range on this board IP.
01-31-2010 , 05:09 PM
What foldequity do we need to make it a break even decision?
Letīs say we have like 38% vs Villains range (I just created a range and stoved it). So
x*35$ + (1-x)(0.38*200$-98,5$) >= -11$
x >= 0,2 (if i didnīt miscalculate something)

I think a shove is fine. Some villains might raise your cbet here as a bluff or w/ kinda small overpairs that are pretty much crushed by your range and definetly should fold to a shove. For sure it isnīt a great +EV shove given that the SPR is so high but it also adds up to our image and balances our line.
01-31-2010 , 05:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Inthegrid
Without reads (that V can raise this flop with overpairs and FDs) I'd just call the flop raise due to pot odds and c/f turn unimproved as sets are by far the biggest part of Vs range on this board IP.
Would you play AA the same?
01-31-2010 , 05:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by StoneRoses
Would you play AA the same?
AA has greater equity v his OP range and his draw range, if you say something like owuld you lay 99/TT the same then may be more applicable

      
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