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top 2 against likely big draw top 2 against likely big draw

02-26-2010 , 06:10 PM
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $1(BB) Poker Stars
SB ($188)
Hero ($119)
UTG ($18.50)
CO ($33.35)
BTN ($56)

Dealt to Hero 7 8 K K

fold, CO calls $1, BTN calls $1, SB calls $0.50, Hero raises to $4, CO calls $3, fold, SB calls $3

FLOP ($13) 3 8 7

SB checks, Hero bets $12.35, CO folds, [color=red]SB raises to $49.40, hero?

pretty unlikely he has a set, but there a ton of big draws out there. Villain is 27/17 in 130 hands.
top 2 against likely big draw Quote
02-26-2010 , 06:29 PM
board: 8s7d3d
Hand Pot equity
KcKh8h7s 44.74%
AdA*d*, KQdQ*d, 9dTdJ*, 87**, Ad8d** 55.26%

I feel like a nit but honestly I like folding.. Doubt he ever has air and his c/r'ing range is very strong.
Jamming flop is basically a breakeven spot and floating to jam blank turns doesn't improve our equity by more than 6%~ vs his range.
top 2 against likely big draw Quote
02-26-2010 , 06:35 PM
Set's are pretty unlikely given our blockers but it's not like they're 0% of his range. And when we factor them in, our equity is even worse than in the range calculation above.
top 2 against likely big draw Quote
02-26-2010 , 06:40 PM
fold
top 2 against likely big draw Quote

      
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