That's fairly standard for lol2cards isn't it? Can't fold a pair there hu against a lot of people. If he had called down with a Jack it would be more crazy.

cmon, fairly standard...
do you even lift bro?

Yay! Finally my tribute to GGaRJ! Can I get a club membership now?

Alternatively I'm just terrible at holdem.

lol

"I just dun think you got it, son" (with a thick Texas accent)

^^ that your standard play ?

jeeez. and you guys wonder why fish think that online poker is rigged?

I mean, I get if if you hold Ac, but that´s one sick call.

I just dont like folding, especially when I cant make sense of villain's hand

Lol @ btn. Solid, solid spew.

He has blockers to hero having four cards.

1 for you Joey... i am so bad at this but maybe we can these giffed hands going again

So I recently started playing Omaha cash on full flush; I traded futures for a living for about 6 years, and when I left the industry in 2011 I partly supported myself for a year playing 1/2 and 2/5 live PLO in the casino's and private games around Chicago, so I do have some experience with the game (made about 20k). Those were some pretty soft games; harder to find games like that anywhere these days...

Anyway, on FF there aren't many Omaha games running usually; I play what's there (plo10-plo100). I two to four table but it's usually just one Omaha table with some NLHE sng's and MTT's. Volume is hard to come by.

Over my first 1200 hands my win-rate is 133.7bb/100. I realize that's unsustainable, and yes I have been running well, but it hasn't been a run of opponent coolers that jumps off the screen or anything.

Just wondering what if any conclusions I can draw from that. I know the volume nazi's on here are just going to turn their noses up at this, but I do have some background in statistics, and small sample sizes can be sometimes be representative i.e. exit polling, Nielsen ratings... Can I even assume I'm playing well over this sample or could it all just be run good?

Anyway I knew I was having a good run but when I looked at that win-rate last night I was very surprised. I've never been one to do a lot of data base analysis of my hh's so I thought I'd throw it up here and see what you guys think. Any and all thoughts appreciated.

Even if youre true winrate is at -20bb/100h, theres a 95% confidence interval of [-112bb/100h, +72bb/100]

As you can see (and I hope you wont call me a volume nazi), your samplesize and "winrate" says basically nothing.

1200 hands wtf is that like half a session

Ha like I said I'm forced to single table mostly. But yeah it's a stupid small amount of hands. Still a pretty absurd rate tho right? Or not so much?

Really appreciate you putting that up for me Kreatief... I've been looking at these variance calc's a lot the past couple days and I think I kind of get it now.

First off where do you get that 160bb/100 St Dev? Also if the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval is 72bb/100, isn't it safe to say that my win rate is indicative of the strong likely hood that I'm not a -20bb/100 player? i.e that rate is in fact indicative of something as opposed to "nothing."

You can't read much in to the winrate/numbers, but you can certainly get a good feel for how soft the games are within 1200 hands (actually often within 20 hands). If you see opponents regularly making bad, exploitative plays then it sounds like a good spot to be in, if you can tolerate 2-4 tables.

I'd just grind it and re-evaluate in 10k hands.

Nah its pretty standard rungood.

Had a really crappy breakeven stretch of the last 5k hands or so. :/ Running poorish, playing even worse.

Took a PLO5 shot today, -7 BI before I called it quits. Thank god for Rakeback.

I don't know how you guys do it, these swings are amazing haha

For a little context, in my month so far in 12k hands, I've had a similar/better run good run twice (5600-6800, 6800-8000).

And this has been a month with very low volatility compared to other months, it's usually much more crazy up and down, I just thought I would show you a recent sample. For the record I think I'm 3-5bb/100 in aiev and actually still a losing player in $, certainly not a crusher.

got some sick swings myself this month too. never had such a streak of swings. ranging from + or - 10BI to + or - 20 BI pretty much every single day since begining of the month. I'm usually used to 2 to 5 BI swings/day, with the odd 10BI session once in a while. But this month has been way more swingy thanusuall (bb wise)

Which stakes? Nice brag btw

haha not sure that's a brag. and for 7-8 days in that graph he probably quit his sessions wanting to drown a baby