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PLO50 wrap w/Q-high fd. donk and raise ahead of us PLO50 wrap w/Q-high fd. donk and raise ahead of us

01-14-2010 , 10:33 AM
SB is a fish. 75/10/2.4 hard to put him on donking range here. I guess can be anything from straight draw to topset

BB was playing really LAG preflop, but not that aggressive postflop. Seemed solid. Should have something really good here.

Is this std 100bb deep? although our fd can be dead. And most likely is. Would there be any merit for just calling ip??



Prima Network $50.00 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: $74.44
SB: $48.05
BB: $52.72
Hero (UTG): $100.00
CO: $53.44

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with Q 9 J 8
Hero raises to $1.75, 1 fold, BTN calls $1.75, SB calls $1.50, BB calls $1.25

Flop: ($7.00) 4 7 T (4 players)
SB bets $3.50, BB raises to $10.50, Hero raises to $42
PLO50 wrap w/Q-high fd. donk and raise ahead of us Quote
01-14-2010 , 11:01 AM
Anny 8, 9 or J and three of the 6es is nut outs giving us 12 nut outs, and if BB are on the nut FD there is 7 spades left in the deck. And against a naked set the Q F may hold up giving 8 new outs.
But if BB has a set with the nut FD……
I think I would call the flop and if the board pared or a spade came I would fold, otherwise push turn an BB would be all in.
PLO50 wrap w/Q-high fd. donk and raise ahead of us Quote
01-14-2010 , 11:03 AM
I'm not sure what I like best.
Since we have no idea what SB is donking, let's concentrate of BB's range.
Since he's raising a donkbet, and didn't 3bet preflop we can assume he doesn't have us crushed. Let's try to make up a reasonable range on him.

board: 7c4sTs
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
JsQs8h9s 52.56% 313,416 3,838
7sT*s*,TBs*s*,44**,TT**,77**,T7**,8s9bs* 47.44% 282,746 3,838

So our equity vs this range is good enough to get it in vs bb. The halfpot donkbet by sb seems to be more weighted too drawing hands, so how's our equity 3way if we give sb a range of mainly draws and bad made hands?

board: 7c4sTs
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
JsQs8h9s 45.35% 265,911 12,431
7sT*s*,TBs*s*,44**,TT**,77**,T7**,8s9bs* 37.02% 218,705 6,873
47**,T4**,689*,568*,356*,As*s** 17.63% 99,892 11,785

Our equity doesn't change much, so whatever we do, given that the ranges we gave villains aren't completely off, it won't be a mistake.

Since we have position I'd like to flat call in this spot, if we go over SB will only call with the top of his range, but then BB probably comes along fairly light. If we go over the top we might get SB to fold his naked better flush draws, but even then he might call. So the best play here, in position, is imo to flat call. That way SB easier comes along with alot of hands we have dominated. If we hit our straight on the turn we're obv getting the stacks in when the pot is 38,5$ with effective stacks of ~41$ and ~39$. If we hit a flush we reevaluate. But since we have position it won't be a horrible situation anyways.
PLO50 wrap w/Q-high fd. donk and raise ahead of us Quote
01-14-2010 , 11:12 AM
ranges seem good. I would add there some A high flushdraws with a pair or a straight draw.
But it won't change it that much I think. I guess our equity is still pretty good
PLO50 wrap w/Q-high fd. donk and raise ahead of us Quote
01-14-2010 , 11:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pokyrys
ranges seem good. I would add there some A high flushdraws with a pair or a straight draw.
But it won't change it that much I think. I guess our equity is still pretty good
I gave SB all As*s** which obv also means As8s9J, but that's just a couple of hands in his range. I also gave BB a range of T+broadway of spades+random of spades.
PLO50 wrap w/Q-high fd. donk and raise ahead of us Quote

      
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