PLO50 - top set - river call or fold? - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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PLO50 - top set - river call or fold?

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02-09-2010 , 09:30 AM

NemoPS

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 34

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($58.35)
BB ($50)
Hero ($79.10)
CO ($51.25)
BTN ($65.85)

Dealt to Hero K

Hero raises to $1.75, fold, fold, SB calls $1.50, fold

FLOP ($4) J

SB bets $2, Hero raises to $9.80, SB calls $7.80

TURN ($23.60) J

SB checks, Hero bets $22.45, SB calls $22.45

RIVER ($68.50) J K 7

Q

SB bets $24.35 (AI), Hero calls $24.35

Villian running 88/20/1.8 over 56 hands sample. Should I fold here?

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02-09-2010 , 09:41 AM

CZI

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 4,351

Yes. First of all, bad/mediocre villains often lead 1/2 pot with the NFD to build the pot yet at the same time keeping it manageable, keeping it small enough to call a raise.

When flop plays out like this, theoretically his continuing range is probably something like Axxxss/QT9x/AQTx/KQTx/KJxx/77xx (even though it's strongly skewed towards Axxxss given the 1/2pot-call flop line). On the turn, he's definitely check/shoving KJxx/77xx. By the river, you beat none of the hands he check/calls the turn with.

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